In MI, I fought that issue at the state level and won
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Say more…?
Yeah, I’m pretty sure that’s where this is headed.
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City turned down the appeal. State had a simple process to follow. It was not an insignificant difference, if I recall correctly, like 40%. State ruled in our favor that the assessed value was the price we paid for the house and property, not the prior assessed value.
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Yeah, I had a short-deadline project the past couple of weeks and needed volume over quality in order to pull it off and it’s still taking 80-hour weeks. (“Ugh. Thanks, boss. Don’t forget I’m going to New Hampshire on the 11th!”) I put on my reluctant manager hat and had ChatGPT generating statements of work and have been doling out those and other tasks to Github Copilot and personally reviewing every line of code. It turns out right now probably 90%+ of my prompts then have to be “No, don’t do it that way, go refactor that this way”. I think it’s still a net win though. Maybe. But it’s very interesting to see where all this goes. The management role I’m filling on this project (i.e. managing AI like it’s a junior dev) requires a lot of domain knowledge, but still seems itself eminently replaceable too once context windows can hold entire companies in its “brain”.
I’ve already been asked by management to show the other devs how to do what I’m doing with the tools on this project. So, it’s at least what management wants software development to look like, I guess.
Somewhere else in this thread someone mentioned that vibe coding is synonymous with shi*. I don’t disagree with that from what I can tell so far. It seems like it’s come to mean non-developers that are generating mediocre projects that are just broken under the hood - non-experts using black boxes creating black boxes - that don’t have much meat to them. I’ve already told my company’s recruiters to discard resumes that mention it.
But devs are black boxes to management and the code written is also a black box to management and somehow that works. I think the levels in the hierarchy are in the process of shifting one level down through automation.
At any rate, it’s all still getting better very fast. It’s definitely changing how the job is done. The thing I’m most concerned about is that I’m seeing the door for junior devs to get into the profession closing. While I know there will always be jobs for the best of the best with the most context, there is a horizon of disruption coming up behind us very fast.
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This is both general question in society and spesific to this field. Where is that saved money and excess productivity boosting bottom lines of companies going… rn real estate agent said some 1mn€+ “mansions” are going for look to buy, are young-ish AI people. But we know each bubble pops yet grinding tedious work needs to continue.
In societal level also… corporations are raking in record profits yet US and UK citizens are suffering badly if they drop and get bad luck in system… they are living in ditch then, using meth or something. Is this the way it should work? Then what happens with common issue that you do senior + 1jr dev job now as that senior role. But management wants next year more out of you. Do you skip some family holidays? Nothing can replace that time spent on work instead of family (most 30-50yos would switch productivity for more time with family, not more salary, as they have young kids and teenagers who need support in difficult stuff in life).
I look corporations and many end up doing vanity projects (5 datacenters in every continent with penthouse and helicopter for every exec) when profits are raking in.
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It all ends in tears.
As disruption moves faster and faster and more people fall behind and/or out, I don’t see how it could end up anywhere else but in a mass revolt. Otherwise they would have to dole out meth or VR headsets or something… or worse… a great war… a culling…
My last hopes are that we just run into real resource constraints (but Chinese solar is exponential) or that the sun flares, wipes out a bunch of tech, and teaches us a collective lesson.
But, in the meantime, we produce faster and faster until it breaks… or we break.
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In diary of a CEO I think one guest said his brain is the limiting factor with AI enabling so much, he has to limit and choose carefully to not literally (biologically) burn or fry his brain.
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