My Audio Analysis Wrapup
I posted earlier today my findings after running a minimization routine that assumed Crooks took shots 4-8, and then converged on a location for shots 1-3 relative to this. The result was a quite exact fit for these 40 data points, with shots 1-3 taken 2 feet in front of shots 4-8. This is my postscript to that post, but I think everything is a wrap on the “shots fired” side, with the remaining questions on the side of why this was allowed to happen.
I showed a graph earlier with how neatly the stationary sources agreed on locations for the two shot groups. I repeat that here, but add in the police cruiser audio that has always been suspect in my mind. Despite being in a protected environment with no screaming and virtually no noise and so easy to measure, it is at odds with these other five sources, and does not converge to the same solution. In fact, the way it doesn’t converge also makes no sense, with random-seeming significant lacks of fit at shots 1, 2, 3, and 5:
My explanation for why the police cruiser audio doesn’t converge along with the rest is that it’s fake. The follow-up question as to why it was faked is what I don’t have an explanation for, particularly if there was no second shooter. Maybe “they” had to edit out a section of the video where something happened in front of building 6 that was picked up on the mic, and they had to replace the reports along with a clip of the blank wall. Who knows, this remains a mystery.
Everything else on the audio analysis is solved in my mind.
Yeah, we could use the audio solution to better place the moving sources, but I don’t know why we need to. They are close enough.
One other thing this does solve. Shots 1-3 sound different from shots 4-8 because Crooks sat up and back, which vastly changed how the reports interacted with the metal roof (police cruiser be damned) and where the last five casings would fall.
I have not checked the work of @vt1 and @greg_n for shots 9 and 10 and have no reason to. My motivation has been to explain the discrepancies between shots 1-3 and 4-8, and the answer is satisfactory because it is clean. Both co-investigators resolve the positions of those last two shots to the most likely locations for those shots (where government snipers are seen aiming at Crooks), when shots 1-8 come from the area of Crooks. As both investigators have been explaining to people, this rules out a far-away sniper’s nest.
I know a lot of folks have put a lot of energy into trying to find a second shooter. The firing solution and location were a source of constant debate because these weren’t forthcoming. Turns out Occam’s Razor wins again. One guy tried to assassinate Trump, and fired real bullets, and was killed before he could tell his story. I am sure that story would have been interesting.
If people have more questions for me, I am happy to answer, but the audio analysis seems done.
Cheers.