Collapse Is Already Here

Many people are expecting some degree of approaching collapse -- be it economic, environmental and/or societal -- thinking that they’ll recognize the danger signs in time.

As if it will be completely obvious, like a Hollywood blockbuster. Complete with clear warnings from scientists, politicians and the media. And everyone can then get busy either panicking or becoming the plucky heroes.

That's not how collapse works.

Collapse is a process, not an event.

And it's already underway, all around us.

Collapse is already here.

However, unlike Hollywood's vision, the early stages of collapse cause people to cling even tighter to the status quo. Instead of panic in the streets, we simply see more of the same -- as those in power do all they can to remain so, while the majority of the public attempts to ignore the growing problems for as long as it possibly can.

For both the elite and the majority, their entire world view and their personal sense of self depends on things not crumbling all around them, so they remain willfully blind to any evidence to the contrary.

When faced with the predicaments we warn about here at PeakProsperity.com, getting an early start on prudently shifting your own personal situation is of vital strategic and tactical importance. Tens of thousands of our readers already have taken wise steps in their lives to position themselves resiliently.

But most of the majority won't get started until it’s entirely too late to make any difference at all. Which is sad but perhaps unavoidable, given human nature.

If everybody around you is saying “Everything is awesome!”, it can take a long time to determine for yourself that things in fact aren't:

Real collapse happens slowly, and often without any sort of acknowledgement by the so-called political and economic elites until its abrupt terminal end.

The degree of rot within the Soviet Union went undetected until its final implosion, catching pretty much everyone in the West (as well as in the former USSR!) by surprise.

Similarly, one day people woke up and passenger pigeons were extinct. They used to literally darken the skies for hours as they migrated past, numbering in the billions. Nobody planned on their demise and virtually nobody saw it coming. Sure, just as there always are, a few crackpots at the fringes noticed, but they were ignored until it was too late.

Our view is that collapse of our current way of life is happening right now. The signs are all around us. Our invitation is for you to notice them and inquire critically what the ramifications will be -- irrespective of whatever pablum our leaders and media are currently spewing.

While the monetary and financial elites strain to crank out one more day/week/month/year of “market stability”, the ecosystems we depend on for life are vanishing. It's as if the Rapture were happening, but it's the insects, plants and animals ascending to heaven instead of we humans.

Committing Ecocide

Be very skeptical when the cause of each new ecological nightmare is ascribed to “natural causes.”

While it’s entire possible for any one ecological mishap to be due to a natural cycle, it’s weak thinking to assign the same cause to dozens of troubling findings happening all over the globe.

As they say in the military: Once is an accident. Twice is a coincidence. But three times is enemy action.

Right now, Australia is in the middle of the summer season and being absolutely hammered by high heat. Sure it gets hot during an Australian summer, but not like this. The impact has been devastating:

Australia's Facing an Unprecedented Ecological Crisis, But No One's Paying Attention

Jan 9, 2019

It started in December, just before Christmas.

Hundreds of dead perch were discovered floating along the banks of the Darling River – victims of a "dirty, rotten green" algae bloom spreading in the still waters of the small country town of Menindee, Australia.

Things didn't get better. The dead hundreds became dead thousands, as the crisis expanded to claim the lives of 10,000 fish along a 40-kilometre (25-mile) stretch of the river. But the worst was still yet to come.

This week, the environmental disaster has exploded to a horrific new level – what one Twitter user called "Extinction level water degradation" – with reports suggesting up to a million fish have now been killed in a new instance of the toxic algae bloom conditions.

For their part, authorities in the state of New South Wales have only gone as far as confirming "hundreds of thousands" of fish have died in the event – but regardless of the exact toll, it's clear the deadly calamity is an unprecedented ecological disaster in the region's waterways.

"I've never seen two fish kills of this scale so close together in terms of time, especially in the same stretch of river," fisheries manager Iain Ellis from NSW Department of Primary Industries (DPI) explained to ABC News.

The DPI blames ongoing drought conditions for the algae bloom's devastating impact on local bream, cod, and perch species – with a combination of high temperature and chronic low water supply (along with high nutrient concentrations in the water) making for a toxic algal soup.

(Source)

Watching the video above showing grown men crying over the loss of 100-year-old fish is heartbreaking. This fish kill is described as “unprecedented” and as an “extinction level event", meaning it left no survivors over a long stretch of waterway.

We can try to console ourselves that maybe this was just a singular event, a cluster of bad juju and worse waterway management that combined to give us this horror -- but it wasn’t.

It's part of a larger tapestry of heat-induced misery that Australia is facing:

How one heatwave killed 'a third' of a bat species in Australia

Jan 15, 2019

Over two days in November, record-breaking heat in Australia's north wiped out almost one-third of the nation's spectacled flying foxes, according to researchers.

The animals, also known as spectacled fruit bats, were unable to survive in temperatures which exceeded 42C.

"It was totally depressing," one rescuer, David White, told the BBC.

Flying foxes are no more sensitive to extreme heat than some other species, experts say. But because they often gather in urban areas in large numbers, their deaths can be more conspicuous, and easily documented.

"It raises concerns as to the fate of other creatures who have more secretive, secluded lifestyles," Dr Welbergen says.

He sees the bats as the "the canary in the coal mine for climate change".

(Source)

A two-day heatwave last November (2018) was sufficient to kill up to a third of all Australia's known flying foxes, a vulnerable species that was already endangered. As those bats are well-studied and their deaths quite conspicuous to observers, it raises the important question: How many other less-scrutinized species are dying off at the same time?

And the death parade continues:

Are these data points severe enough for you to recognize as signs of ongoing collapse?

Last summer was a time of extreme drought and heat for Australia, and this summer looks set to be even worse. This may be the country's 'new normal' for if the situation is due to climate change instead of just an ordinary (if punishing) hot cycle.

If so, these heat waves will likely intensify over time, completely collapsing the existing biological systems across Australia.

Meanwhile, nearby in New Zealand, similar species loss is underway:

'Like losing family': time may be running out for New Zealand's most sacred tree

July 2018

New Zealand’s oldest and most sacred tree stands 60 metres from death, as a fungal disease known as kauri dieback spreads unabated across the country.

Tāne Mahuta (Lord of the Forest) is a giant kauri tree located in the Waipoua forest in the north of the country, and is sacred to the Māori people, who regard it as a living ancestor.

The tree is believed to be around 2,500 years old, has a girth of 13.77m and is more than 50m tall.

Thousands of locals and tourists alike visit the tree every year to pay their respects, and take selfies beside the trunk.

Now, the survival of what is believed to be New Zealand’s oldest living tree is threatened by kauri dieback, with kauri trees a mere 60m from Tāne Mahuta confirmed to be infected.

Kauri dieback causes most infected trees to die, and is threatening to completely wipe out New Zealand’s most treasured native tree species, prized for its beauty, strength and use in boats, carvings and buildings.

“We don’t have any time to do the usual scientific trials anymore, we just have to start responding immediately in any way possible; it is not ideal but we have kind of run out of time,” Black says, adding that although there is no cure for kauri dieback there is a range of measures which could slow its progress.

(Source)

People are rallying to try and save the kauri trees, although it’s unclear exactly how to stop the spread of the new fungal invader or why it's so pathogenic all of a sudden. It could be due to another natural sort of cycle (except the fungus was thought to have been introduced and spread by human activity) or it could be another collapse indicator we need to finally hear and heed.

It turns out that New Zealand is not alone. Giant trees are dying all over the globe.

2,000-year-old baobab trees in Africa are suddenly and rather mysteriously giving up the ghost. These trees survived happily for 2,000 years and now all of a sudden they're dying. Are the deaths of our most ancient trees all across the globe some sort of natural process? Or is there a different culprit we need to recognize?

In Japan they're lamenting record low squid catches. Oh well, maybe it’s just overfishing? Or could it be another message we need to heed?

To all this we can add the numerous scientific articles now decrying the 'insect Apocalypse' unfolding across the northern hemisphere. The Guardian recently issued this warning: “Insect collapse: ‘We are destroying our life support systems’”. Researchers in Puerto Rico's forest preserves recorded a 98% decline in insect mass over 35 years. Does a 98% decline have a natural explanation? Or is something bigger going on?

Meanwhile, the butterfly die-off is unfolding with alarming speed. I rarely see them in the summer anymore, much to my great regret. Seeing one is now as exciting as seeing a meteor streak across the sky, and just as rare:

Monarch butterfly numbers plummet 86 percent in California

Jan 7, 2019

CAMARILLO, Calif. – The number of monarch butterflies turning up at California's overwintering sites has dropped by about 86 percent compared to only a year ago, according to the Xerces Society, which organizes a yearly count of the iconic creatures.

That’s bad news for a species whose numbers have already declined an estimated 97 percent since the 1980s.

Each year, monarchs in the western United States migrate from inland areas to California’s coastline to spend the winter, usually between September and February.

“It’s been the worst year we’ve ever seen,” said Emma Pelton, a conservation biologist with the Xerces Society who helps lead the annual Thanksgiving count. “We already know we’re dealing with a really small population, and now we have a really bad year and all of a sudden, we’re kind of in crisis mode where we have very, very few butterflies left.”

What’s causing the dramatic drop-off is somewhat of a mystery. Experts believe the decline is spurred by a confluence of unfortunate factors, including late rainy-season storms across California last March, the effects of the state’s years long drought and the seemingly relentless onslaught of wildfires that have burned acres upon acres of habitat and at times choked the air with toxic smoke.

(Source)

Note the “explanation” given blames the decline on mostly natural processes: late storms, droughts and wildfires. I believe that's because the article appears in a US paper, so no mention was permitted of neonicotinoid pesticides or glyphosate. Both of these are highly effective decimators of insect life -- but they're highly profitable for Big Ag, so for now, any criticism is not allowed.

Sure a 97% decline since the 1980’s might be due to fires, droughts and rains. But that’s really not very likely. There have always been fires, droughts and rains. Something else has shifted since the 1980’s. And that “thing” is human activity, which has increased its willingness to destroy habitat and spray poisons everywhere in pursuit of cheaper food and easier profits.

The loss of insects, which we observe in the loss of the beautiful and iconic Monarch butterfly, is a gigantic warning flag that we desperately need to heed. If the bottom of our billion-year-old food web disintegrates, you can be certain that the repercussions to humans will be dramatic and terribly difficult to ‘fix.’ In scientific terms, it will be called a “bottom-up trophic cascade”.

In a trophic cascade, the loss of a single layer of the food pyramid crumbles the entire structure. Carefully-tuned food webs a billion years in the making are suddenly destabilized. Life cannot adapt quickly enough, and so entire species are quickly lost. Once enough species die off, the web cannot be rewoven, and life … simply ends.

What exactly would a “trophic cascade” look like in real life? Oh, perhaps something just like this:

Deadly deficiency at the heart of an environmental mystery

Oct 16, 2018

During spring and summer, busy colonies of a duck called the common eider (Somateria mollissima) and other wild birds are usually seen breeding on the rocky coasts around the Baltic Sea. Thousands of eager new parents vie for the best spots to build nests and catch food for their demanding young broods.

But Lennart Balk, an environmental biochemist at Stockholm University, witnessed a dramatically different scene when he visited Swedish coastal colonies during a 5-year period starting in 2004. Many birds couldn’t fly. Others were completely paralyzed. Birds also weren’t eating and had difficulty breathing. Thousands of birds were suffering and dying from this paralytic disease, says Balk. “We went into the bird colonies, and we were shocked. You could see something was really wrong. It was a scary situation for this time of year,” he says.

Based on his past work documenting a similar crisis in several Baltic Sea fish species, Balk suspected that the birds’ disease was caused by a thiamine (vitamin B1) deficiency. Thiamine is required for critical metabolic processes, such as energy production and proper functioning of the nervous system.

This essential micronutrient is produced mainly by plants, including phytoplankton, bacteria, and fungi; people and animals must acquire it through their food.

“We found that thiamine deficiency is much more widespread and severe than previously thought,” Balk says. Given its scope, he suggests that a pervasive thiamine deficiency could be at least partly responsible for global wildlife population declines. Over a 60-year period up to 2010, for example, worldwide seabird populations declined by approximately 70%, and globally, species are being lost 1,000 times faster than the natural rate of extinction (9, 10). “He has seen a thiamine deficiency in several differ phyla now,” says Fitzsimons of Balk. “One wonders what is going on. It’s a larger issue than we first suspected.”

(Source)

This is beyond disturbing. It should have been on the front pages of every newspaper and TV show across the globe. We should be discussing it in urgent, worried tones and devoting a huge amount of money to studying and fixing it. At a minimum, we should stop hauling more tiny fish and krill from the sea in an effort to at least stabilize the food pyramid while we sort things out.

If you recall, we’ve also recently reported on the findings showing that phytoplankton levels are down 50% (these are a prime source for thiamine, by the way). Again, here's a possible “trophic cascade” in progress:

(Source)

Fewer phytoplankton means less thiamine being produced. That means less thiamine is available to pass up the food chain. Next thing you know, there’s a 70% decline in seabird populations.

This is something I’ve noticed directly and commented n during my annual pilgrimages to the northern Maine coast over the past 30 years, where seagulls used to be extremely common and are now practically gone. Seagulls! How does one lose seagulls?

Next thing you know, some other major food chain will be wiped out and we'll get oceans full of jellyfish instead of actual fish. Or perhaps some once-benign mold grows unchecked because the former complex food web holding it in balance has collapsed, suddenly transforming Big Ag's "green revolution" into grayish-brown spore-ridden dust.

To add to the terrifying mix of ecological news has been the sudden and rapid loss of amphibian species all over the world. A possible source for the culprit has been found, if that’s any consolation; though that discovery does not yet identify a solution to this saddening development.

Ground Zero of Amphibian 'Apocalypse' Finally Found

May 10, 2018

MANY OF THE world's amphibians are staring down an existential threat: an ancient skin-eating fungus that can wipe out entire forests' worth of frogs in a flash.

This ecological super-villain, the chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis, has driven more than 200 amphibian species to extinction or near-extinction—radically rewiring ecosystems all over Earth.

“This is the worst pathogen in the history of the world, as far as we can tell, in terms of its impacts on biodiversity,” says Mat Fisher, an Imperial College London mycologist who studies the fungus.

Now, a global team of 58 researchers has uncovered the creature's origin story. A groundbreaking study published in Science on Thursday reveals where and when the fungus most likely emerged: the Korean peninsula, sometime during the 1950s.

From there, scientists theorize that human activities inadvertently spread it far and wide—leading to amphibian die-offs across the Americas, Africa, Europe, and Australia.

(Source)

Frogs, toads and salamanders were absolutely critical parts of my childhood and I delighted in their presence. I cannot imagine a world without them. But effectively, that’s what we’ve got now with so many on the endangered species list.

This parade of awful ecological news is both endless and worsening. And there is no real prospect for us to fix things in time to avoid substantial ecological pain. None.

After all, we can’t even manage our watersheds properly. And those are dead simple by comparison. Water falls from the sky in (Mostly) predictable volume and you then distribute somewhat less than that total each year. Linear and simple in comparison to trying to unravel the many factors underlying a specie's collapse.

But challenges like this are popping up all over the globe:

Fear And Grieving In Las Vegas: Colorado River Managers Struggle With Water Scarcity

Dec 14th, 2018

On stage in a conference room at Las Vegas's Caesars Palace, Keith Moses said coming to terms with the limits of the Colorado River is like losing a loved one.

"It reminds me of the seven stages of grief," Moses said. "Because I think we've been in denial for a long time."

Moses is vice chairman of the Colorado River Indian Tribes, a group of four tribes near Parker, Arizona. He was speaking at the annual Colorado River Water Users Association meeting.

The denial turned to pain and guilt as it became clear just how big the supply and demand gaps were on the river that delivers water to 40 million people in the southwest.

For the last six months Arizona's water leaders have been experiencing the third stage of grief: anger and bargaining.

Of the seven U.S. states that rely on the Colorado River, Arizona has had the hardest time figuring out how to rein in water use and avoid seeing the river's largest reservoirs — Lakes Mead and Powell — drop to extremely low levels.

Kathryn Sorenson, director of Phoenix's water utility, characterized the process this way: "Interesting. Complicated. Some might say difficult."

One of the loudest voices in the debate has been coming from a small group of farmers in rural Pinal County, Arizona, south of Phoenix.

Under the current rules those farmers could see their Colorado River supplies zeroed out within two years.

The county's biggest grower of cotton and alfalfa, Brian Rhodes, is trying to make sure that doesn't happen. The soil in his fields is powder-like, bursting into tiny brown clouds with each step.

"We're going to have to take large cuts," Rhodes said. "We all understand that."

(Source)

Oh my goodness. If we’re having trouble realizing that wasting precious water from the Colorado River to grow cotton is a bad idea, then there’s just no hope at all that we'll successfully rally to address the loss of ocean phytoplankton.

That’s about the easiest connection of dots that could ever be made. As Sam Kinison, the 1980’s comedian might have yelled – IT’S A DESERT!! YOU’RE TRYING TO GROW WATER-INTENSIVE CROPS IN THE FREAKING DESERT! CAN’T YOU SEE ALL THE SAND AROUND YOU?!? THAT MEANS "DON’T GROW COTTON HERE!!"

A World On The Brink

The bottom line is this: We are destroying the natural world. And that means that we are destroying ourselves.

I know that the mainstream news has relegated this conversation to the back pages (when they covered it at all) and so it's not “front and center” for most people. But it should be.

Everything we hold dear is a subset of the ecosphere. If that goes, so does everything else. Nothing else matters in the slightest if we actively destroy the Earth’s carrying capacity.

At the same time, we're in the grips of an extremely dangerous delusion that has placed money, finance and the economy at the top spot on our temple of daily worship.

Any idea of slowing down or stopping economic growth is “bad for business” and dismissed out of hand as “not practical”, "undesirable" or "unwise". It’s always a bad time to discuss the end of economic growth, apparently.

But as today's young people are increasingly discovering, if "conducting business" is just a lame rationale for failed stewardship of our lands and oceans, then it’s a broken idea. One not worth preserving in its current form.

The parade of terrible ecological breakdowns provided above is there for all willing to see it. Are you willing? Each failing ecosystem is screaming at us in urgent, strident tones that we’ve gone too far in our quest for "more".

We might be able to explain away each failure individually. But taken as a whole? The pattern is clear: We’ve got enemy action at work. These are not random coincidences.

Nature is warning us loudly that it's past time to change our ways. That our "endless growth" model is no longer valid. In fact, it's now becoming an existential threat

The collapse is underway. It’s just not being televised (yet).

Davos As Destiny

And don't expect the cavalry to arrive.

Our leadership is absolutely not up to the task. If the Davos conference currently underway in Switzerland is a sign of anything at all, it’s that we’re doomed.

The world has been taken over by bankers and financiers too smitten by their love of money to notice much else or be of any practical service to the world.

By way of illustrative example, here’s the big techno-feel-good idea unveiled on the second day of the conference. The crowds there loved it:

Yes, folks, this is what the world most desperately needs at this time! /sarc

While I’m sure drone-delivered books is a heartwarming story, it’s completely diversionary and utterly meaningless in the face of collapsing oceanic and terrestrial food webs.

Sadly, this is exactly the sort of inane distraction most admired by the Davos set in large part because it helps them feel a tiny bit better about their ill-gotten wealth. "Look! We're supporting good things!" The ugly truth is that big wealth's main pursuit is to distort political processes and rules to assure they get to keep it and even amass more.

Drones carrying books to Indonesian children provides the same sort of dopamine rush to a Davos attendee as Facebook 'like' gives to a 14-year-old. Temporary, cheap, superficial and ultimately meaningless.

The same is true of their other feel-good theme of the day. “Scientists” have discovered an enzyme that eats plastics:

That’s swell, but you know what would be even better? Not using the bottles in the first place. Which could be accomplished by providing access to safe, potable water as a basic human right and using re-usable containers. Of course, that would offer less chances for private wealth accumulation so instead the Davos crowd is fixated on the profitable solution vs. doing the right thing.

In virtually every instance, the Davos crowd wants to preserve industry and our consumer culture as it is, using technology and gimmicks in attempt to remedy the ills that result. There’s money to be made on both ends of that story.

The only thing that approach lacks is a future. Because it’s not-so-subtly based on continued "growth". Infinite exponential growth. The exact same growth that is killing ancient trees, sea birds, insects, amphibians, and phytoplankton.

Who wants more of that? Insane people.

In other words, don’t hold out any hope that the Davos set representing the so-called “elite” from every prominent nation on earth are going to somehow bravely offer up real insights on our massive predicaments and solutions to our looming problems. They're too consumed with their own egos and busy preening for prominence to notice the danger or care.

As they pointlessly fritter away another expensive gathering, the ecological world is unraveling all around them. The oceans are becoming a barren wasteland. The ancient trees are dying. Heatwaves are melting tar and killing life. The web of life is snapping strand by strand and nobody can predict what happens next.

In other words, if you held out any hope that “they” would somehow rally to the cause you’d best set that completely aside. It's no wonder social anger against tone-deaf and plundering elites is breaking out right now.

From here, there are only two likely paths:

(1) We humans simply cannot self-organize to address these plights and carry on until the bitter end, when something catastrophic happens that collapses our natural support systems.

(2) We see the light, gather our courage, and do what needs to be done. Consumption is widely and steeply curtailed, fossil fuel use is severely restrained, and living standards as measured by the amount of stuff flowing through our daily lives are dropped to sustainable levels.

Either path means enormous changes are coming, probably for you and definitely for your children and grandchildren.

In Part 2: Facing Reality we dive into what developments to expect as our systems continue further along their trophic cascade. Which markers and milestones should we monitor most closely to know when the next breaking point is upon us?

To reiterate: Massive change is now inevitable and in progress.

Collapse has already begun.

<a href="https://www.peakprosperity.com/insider/114742/facing-reality" targ

This is a companion discussion topic for the original entry at https://peakprosperity.com/collapse-is-already-here/

Great post, Chris. I can feel the sincerity in the sadness and desperation of your tone. Perhaps this may sound silly, but when I get broken-hearted about the environmental E, I remind myself that we may sow the seeds of our demise (with the species that share our place), but on geological time the Earth and her life-giving story should be fine, right? Might it be the most important thing we can do, simply to cherish the time we have, to bask and work and dream and build and laugh and love…
It seems unlikely humanity will organize and take path 2, but I hope some of us can at least truly appreciate the opportunity along the way…

Chris, I think this is one of the most powerful posts you’ve ever written. The Economic “E” doesn’t hold a candle to the Environmental “E”, and it is (painfully) refreshing to hear your clarion call on its behalf, bringing long overdue attention to the many indicators that we are seriously screwing over life on earth.
People need to hear this, they need someone to throw cold water on their faces and tell them to WAKE UP!!! Thank you for sounding the call.

I have just come in from watering my garden (as I missed doing it yesterday when it was hot also). The time is 4.08pm (local time) and the weather station on the back concrete reads 42.4C (108F).
It has been varing degrees of hot to bloody disgusting for over a month.

The elephant in the room jumps, the ground shifts but still no-one takes notice. The human race refuses to look at itself with any kind of humility even in the face of self-destruction. We blame the politicians, their lack of action and lament the death of our environment as if we as law-abiding, righteous individuals had nothing to do with the problem.
If you wanted to save a bunch of trees, reduce toxic outpourings and conserve water what better way than to reduce human demand, specifically by putting limits on population numbers.
People bitch about meat eaters and how cattle are a major cause of climate change but no-one ever puts into numbers the environmental cost of supporting a two or three child family. I’m pretty sure the spawn of our car-driving, energy gluttonous plastic society pose a greater threat to the environment than a family of grass eating quadrupeds.
Still after a century of talking about population and pollution nothing has changed. No-one wants to give up the culture, beliefs and traditions that got us here. The “go forth and prosper” mindset was always an arrogant delusion born from an assumption of self-importance.
Political society was born from an amalgamation of tribes overpopulating areas of limited resource. Now the planet will die because the species refuses to equate resource depletion with flagrant population growth.
Our extinction seems like a fitting end.

The masses are torn. On one hand, most people do not want the environment that supports us to be destroyed. On the other, to make the changes required to save it (if it isn’t already too late) would eliminate probably half the jobs out there and destroy the financial system and everyone’s savings, THE WAY THE ECONOMY / SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY STRUCTURED. I think we know that when faced with the choice of immediate poverty versus a longer term, more widespread and nebulous threat, individuals will always defer to the latter.
The alternative, changing the system so that half the population DOESN’T lose their job as a result of society becoming sustainable, is not something many people understand how to do, no doubt in part due to the elites directly and indirectly influencing the educational system and what we are taught; in addition to the censored media stories we are told / not told, as Chris mentions.
In short, this will not end well. It’s so sad, beause we had/have the knowledge and technology to live sustainably, decades ago, if we had used it that way. But our leaders are incompetent and they blew it. The masses allowed them to.

…this is where TPTB’s focus is now (as I’ve been suspecting for a while now): control of resources (esp oil, to be exploited at any environmental cost, of course) closer to home and potentially less bothersome to extract than in the Middle East…
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-01-24/american-empire-pivots-toward-…

There’s been a fair amount of publicity of and media hand-wringing over the fish kills in the Murray River system. My wife and I were listening to a ABC news radio broadcast where they interviewed the Deputy Prime Minister about what had happened and why. (I gather the PM was out of the country attending to BAU.)
He acknowledged the fish deaths and expressed sorrow and isn’t it too bad and there’s a lot of complicated causes and all that. He also said a number of times that in Australia the rain ALWAYS returns, and when it does we will be complaining and wondering what to do with all the water. This is Australia, the land of droughts and flooding rains. The rain ALWAYS returns, he repeated. Then we can get back to growing the economy. Like approving that mega coal mine in Queensland that MANY of the people adamantly oppose.
In other words, as far as he’s concerned, climate change is not an issue. Not at all. Obviously this is official Australian federal government policy.
And we’ve never had a fish kill like this that anyone can remember. This is new. So, Mr Deputy PM, what has changed? Nothing? And you reckon the rain will return? Isn’t this a species of cargo cult thinking? What if it doesn’t?
I know some pleasant people who are genuinely convinced that the earth is flat. Really. Now I know at least one more.

The interesting thing about New South Wales (NSW) is that it’s one of the grain belts for Australia, and more grain is produced than is needed. This typically means that it’s traded, from memory it accounts for about 2% of grain traded world wide. So the drought in NSW has geopolitical implications, but only if there is another grain failure elsewhere. Now you may think 2% of grain is tiny, but in terms of the amount of people it feeds in other countries it’s massive, we are talking 10’s to 100’s of millions of people not being able to get their staples. So pay attention over the summer in the middle east, or India or Africa, and if there are crop faulures there you may face another arab spring situation.
Russia, and the US both produce massive amounts of grain, but they don’t trade as much as you would think, Russia trades less than Australia, and i’ll note they had a grain crop failure the same year as the last Arab spring.
I remember as a child that each week my job was to go out and clean the car window of bird poop, there was always something on the window. I got real excited about 3 months ago because I found some on my car window. It’s the only time I can recall having it happen within the last 10 years. No bugs, no birds, and an overheating planet.

Wounds suffered by Yellow Vest protestors largely as a result of rubber bullets (“flashballs”) fired by police: http://lemurjaune.fr/ (warning: photos are graphic)
Taken from this article here: https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2019/01/gilets-jaunes-attack.html
I’m still waiting for these images to be shown on MSM - any idea how long I’ll have to wait? Bidding starts at ‘forever’ and extends to ‘infinity and beyond’.
Edit: I should have posted this in daily digest. Admin, feel free to move.

pinecarr wrote:
Chris, I think this is one of the most powerful posts you've ever written. The Economic "E" doesn't hold a candle to the Environmental "E", and it is (painfully) refreshing to hear your clarion call on its behalf, bringing long overdue attention to the many indicators that we are seriously screwing over life on earth. People need to hear this, they need someone to throw cold water on their faces and tell them to WAKE UP!!! Thank you for sounding the call.

I agree with Pinecarr. This is one of Chris’s best, and another of them was the end of year post, where he warned us oldies that sometime soon a youngster is going to ask us two questions: when did you realise and what did you do about it? That, for me, was a call to arms.
But I hear, too, the despair in Chris’s articles, and in my own (nobody reads mine, unfortunately). We all in here know it is already too late. While TPTB chase Russian moonbeams and dollars in their trillions in the US, Brexit, Catalan independence and Italian budget problems in the EU, they have no time for anything other than the latest employment figures, exchange rates and quarterly reports.
The environment needs a leader.

Amazing - thanks, Chris.
I don’t know what it is about this week that profound reads on this topic matter keep coming up. Here is that one kept me glued to my screen for a while the other day when I should have been working - a stunning piece of work IMO, concerning climate change and collapse.
https://www.lifeworth.com/deepadaptation.pdf
And Nafeez Ahmed, who has been on PP:
https://medium.com/insurge-intelligence/how-collective-intelligence-can-change-your-world-right-now-fcfab215251f
Both indispensible for those wondering what to do with this most terrible knowledge…

Philden was right about this being one of your best posts. However, it was, by far, one of your most disturbing posts.
Sadly, from my seat on the bench, I don’t see people gearing up to work on a solution. What I see is people working themselves up into a war frenzy. I think the “forever war”, we’ve been perpetuating is going to become a world war.
That’ll solve everything!

It’s an extraordinarily unpleasant thought, but the first world’s political systems have failed completely to address the most critical problem of the past 500 years. Democracy, or what has passed for democracy in our advertising/propaganda-filled world, has failed completely – and that is not due to any particular administration’s corruption, nor it it due to any one politician’s scientific ignorance. It is due to the baked-in greed within humans, and the ease with which that greed is exploited by the worst of us.
The idea that humans, under self-governance, would automatically implement necessary solutions to global problems turns out to be a mirage.
What would address the problem appropriately? There would need to be a heavy military power able and willing to impose rationing across the developed world, enforced by immediate death for violators. Such a power could announce its arrival by bombing every super-yacht and private jet out of existence, with or without their owners on board. It is very difficult to imagine that such a power could remain uncorrupted – but if we are honest with ourselves, the civilian alternatives have all been tried, and have all completely failed.
I’m over 60, and have had little hope for the past 38 years, ever since the US population elected an avuncular TV character to lead the nation, largely because a helicopter failed. We’ve done remarkable things since then to enlarge the set of people deemed to matter, but have done nothing (ignoring rounding error) to save us from ourselves. We stepped off the cliff long ago, blinking like Road Runner’s cartoon coyote. We’re already halfway down on our way to meet the ground, and no doubt politicians will take action to ensure the 0.01% continue to have the best air-conditioning at their compounds after the splat.
For those who think a resort to military-imposed violence sounds unappealing, I’d suggest it is really long past time to admit to the far-greater violence that has already been committed in our names, to ensure that a few of the worst of us can play with super-yachts and private jets.

Chris,
Thank you for the great post. I appreciate your passion for people and the environment.
In 2008, I was much less optimistic than I am today. Not because we’ve done much to alleviate the environmental degradation, but because I’ve seen first hand what’s possible.
In 2009, I purchased a six acre, south facing hillside that had been farmed for decades. No butterflies. No frogs. No snakes. Very degraded.
Over the next nine years, I put in 2200 linear feet of swales to stop the water and nutrients from running off the hill. I planted 2000+ trees to take advantage of the captured moisture and nutrient. I dug four ponds. My plan was to provide for the needs of the flora and fauna as well as my family’s needs. To do this I had to rehydrate and reforest the land, and build ecological diversity.
Early on the process, my property attracted the ire of neighbors and passerbyers in the township. People complained that my property was “all weeds”. I rarely mowed and only did so as part of a strategy. For example, if I wanted to discourage a particular plant over another, I might mow before the plant goes to seed, or I might let it seed if I wanted more of a particular plant. Many times, I would hand cut certain species as they dried in the field and spread the seeds by hand to other areas where I thought they might thrive. The trees I planted were very small, and to the passerby who’s used to maincured monoculture lanws it did look weedy. Of course, many of these so called weeds provides tons of benefits, far more than grass.
The police cited me for breaking the weed ordinance. The penalties are stiff with daily fines and jail time if you don’t comply. The problem was I couldn’t comply without destroying all my hardwork. The design was very natural and not conducive to mowing. I fought it, and the complaints and police threats went on for about two years. Finally, I was granted a hearing to argue my case.
At the hearing, the township solicitor said it was the FIRST time anyone had challenged the property maintenance code. The police officer had pictures of my property and questioned me about plants in his pictures, citing them as weeds. Thankfully, I could name the plants and their uses. One of the plants he complained about was a grape vine. Anyway, to make a long story short, the board decided to classify my entire property as a garden, and therefore exempt from the grass and weeds ordinance. Had I lost this hearing, I would’ve been totally SOL.
Now, years later, the passerbyers can’t see what’s going on. The trees and the bamboo are too tall. Now, we have tons of insects and butterflies. When I’m walking the property, in certain spots, I have to flick my corn knife at the air in front of me because there are so many spider webs. Monarch butterflies are everywhere, not an exaggeration. I think they come for the milkweed, which I’ve let grow and multiply. When I walk by the ponds, I hear and see the frogs jumping in the water. I see snakes on a regular basis. Fox. Ducks. Skunks. Possum. Too many groundhogs. Hawks. Eagles. So many birds. Since I rarely mow, the birds can access the dried seeds hanging on the stalks over the winter. I watch them balancing on the stalks and eating the seeds.
Imagine what humanity could accomplish if we started building swales and ponds and planting trees and growing some of our own food. If we plant enough trees, it actually increases rainfall!
Of course, I have no idea how you influence others to do these things. I did what I did knowing it is inconsequential in the big picture. But I think about what the world would look like if people stopped trying to control and dominate nature. Just stopping with all the mowing and spraying would be a huge step in the right direction.
Humanity could be a powerful regenerative force. We just need to get going in the right direction.

My personal journey got kick-started in the fall of '74 when I began college and met my wife-to-be. We had read some of the same books in high school and had a shared interest in ecology and overpopulation (Boy, we must’ve been a couple of weird dweebs! Back in the early '70’s who read that kind of stuff on their own in high school?!). It was Silent Spring, The Population Bomb, and The Limits to Growth. Additionally, my father who lived 1,500 miles away warned me in August of '71 in one of many letters that Nixon “closing the gold window” would mean the collapse of the economy and civilization, so I started thinking about prepping to survive. Together with some friends we met in our first year in college, my then-fiance and I started S.A.F.E. - Student Action For the Environment at our little college in the fall of '75, through which we tried to educate ourselves and awaken others to what people were doing to the environment. We threw our little teaspoon of water on the raging fire. wink
We settled in for the long haul and over the years adjusted our values and behavior accordingly. In graduate school in Louisville, KY, we had no A/C and kept our winter thermostat set at its lowest setting: 54 degrees F, unless we had a guest coming over and then we cranked it up to 70 degrees just for the visit. We grew a little garden in a brick-strewn lot next door. That’s where I learned that six free brussel sprout plants were waaaay too much for two people who don’t like brussel sprouts that much. We’ve had two children and passed on to them our love for nature and concern for the environment and energy conservation, even though we’ve always lived in dense urban centers. We only have two grandchildren and that looks like it’s going to be it. We’ve always been pretty well insulated from the mind-control that TPTB wield through teevee. We didn’t have a teevee for our first five years of marriage and only got a 13" B/W when it was given to us. We cut the cord again for good about five years ago, and quit all our newspaper and news magazine subscriptions about 15 years ago.
Anyway, despite our tiny efforts, the world has continued to march inexorably toward the disaster we saw coming in '74 at the latest. We have hopes, but not that society will wake up and make the necessary changes. Our hopes are in family and small group survival, and rebuilding a better world (though I have to concede that even the best rebuilding will be fatally flawed or spoiled in the long term). The Christian communities that survived and thrived in the Dark Ages are our inspiration. We are determined to do the right things, not because they will succeed in saving civilization and nature or even ourselves, but because they are the right things.
The big human die-off we’re approaching will self-correct many of our excesses, of that I can be sure. Massively fewer people will reduce human consumption and destruction of the environment (that is, after the excess radiation has faded away).
In the meantime, we’re like most of us here at PP: seeking to enjoy life, love, family, nature, fresh water, and food as much as we can for as long as it lasts. And we continue to prepare to survive to the other side of the event horizon with our lives and values intact. But we’re not Hippie Flower Children: we are battle-hardened urban warriors and as prepared to cope with The Ugliness that’s coming as we can be at our age. More than the coming violence and suffering, we fear the temptations that will come to not live according to our beliefs and values.
This weekend we are still trying to get our house sold so we can get out of the Big City when we retire in May. We’ve got three showings over the weekend and an open house. Got to go attend to those mundane details. Life goes on. We’re looking forward to starting over even more sustainably in New Hampshire and seeing our first moose, before they’re all gone.
“Happy Hunger Games. And may the odds be ever in your favor.”

As a wildlife photographer, there is nothing I love more than the natural world! My one gift is that I believe we are all Spiritual Beings at the core and personally I could never be afraid of anything as small as death. I believe that death is just a continuance of Life although in a different form. Many more cultures than not believe that death is a celebration and a new beginning. I wish this gift upon others. After all, what could be more abhorrent than a world controlled by Central bankers!!

Jeremiah, the weaping prophet
And. we know what happened to him!

After skimming Dr. Nafeez Ahmed’s piece cited above – reading would have been too painful – I see that the solution to all our problems must be to expand the basic religious/philosophical concept “know thyself” into long-winded big-worded mountains of bullshit, never once mentioning explicit material sacrifice. Think-tank work at its best; not just useless, but impressively useless.