Escalation Trap: US-Iran Strikes, Oil Chokepoints, and the Coming Energy Crisis with Mario Nawfal

Chris in the Media
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Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/escalation-trap-us-iran-strikes-oil-chokepoints-and-the-coming-energy-crisis-with-mario-nawfal/

Mario Nawfal and I recently discussed the dangerous escalation trap that’s trapping the US and Iran, from Trump’s latest threats over frozen assets and power plants to the growing signs of imminent wider strikes. We examined why pure military pressure cannot force a quick resolution against a prepared adversary, and how the resulting disruptions to oil flows, refined products, and key chokepoints like Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb are already tightening global supplies. The conversation also covered the culture of silence inside the administration, the historical weight of decades of sanctions, and the very real risk that continued conflict could trigger an energy-driven economic crisis far beyond anyone’s control.

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Thank you DJT for giving us the most amateurish US administration in US history. You win the clown show award for promising to end the Ukraine war in 24 hrs and to stop forever wars.

You have done the total opposite. You and your psychopathic buddy in Israel are bringing chaos and potentially famine to the world while you personally bank billions from these wars.

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Chris, along with current events, your media presence has grown exponentially. You are exactly where you deserve to be, gives me hope that maybe hard work does pay off :blush: It’s also really helpful to be further developing this inter-connected community of sane people, we are mutually supportive and I think we are creating a formidable force against the creeps. I’ve always contended in the end, we win.

Maybe they know they have to crash things soon, because we are becoming too powerful.

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You know others have speculated or even suggested that this somehow has been orchestrated on purpose for whatever reasons, even Chris. Klaus Schwab during the Covid scamdemic said the time was right for a reset of the world.

Then I consider that we have 8+ billion humans on this planet and that number continues to grow, just like our national debt. Just like the sovereign debt crisis around the world, just like the dwindling resources to feed and support those 8+ billion humans.

That’s when I begin to consider that those who have suggested this was all done on purpose and for a reason, may have a point.

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Thank you so much, @cmartenson. You explained a number of things very clearly in this interview. This grows my sense of certainty about what is happening. With more clarity, I can feel more resolution about prepping.

This interview, in particular, was very helpful to me.

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The parallels to the 1971-1974 Nixon Shock, Yom Kippur War, Petro Dollar, OAPEC Embargo chain of events and the chain of events that led to the bombing of Iran in Feb. of 2026 is quite striking.

The “point” of that 1971 to 1974 chain of events was conversion of the $35 per ounce of gold to the petrodollar system.

This 2023-? war has a fairly clear transition planned from the petrodollar to the LNG-petro-piracy dollar. (I place the 2023 date as the start point because that was the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack on Israel. We could easily go back to the 2014 Maidan in Ukraine, or the Israel behested payments by Qatar to Hamas to enable the Oct. 7, 2023 attacks).

I think the energy shock, as you have described its preconditions, is baked into the cake. Those who are ensuring this war is waged have known that from the outset.

Our rivals are not totally our rivals and are not capable of striking back against us - just as the Soviet Union was prevented from flying to the rescue of the Arabs in their war against the U.S. and Israel in 1973-1974.

The ability to execute industrial commodity trades and escape the U.S.'s piracy extortion racket is a victory condition for those nations hoping to escape the dollar system.

Collapse of the U.S., in a way that does not destroy its rivals, is a complicated matter for those rivals.

There will be famine, there will be energy shortages - I think figuring out the political, economic, and strategic factors shaping where those distasteful outcomes arrive is the tricky bit now.

In fact, perhaps China prefers the US dollar as the commodity exchange hegemon. Perhaps Triffins Dilemma for the U.S. is part of China’s long term strategy to exert control via soft power, productive new work, and a facade of peaceful economic cooperation with those accepting the terms of China’s debt traps. The Chinese leadership of the past 20 years has repeatedly written about things like using the Internation Monetary Fund as a central bank of all central banks, globally, to issue “reserves” (likely pegged to ratios negotiated by a small set of bankers and political leaders that cannot be easily unseated) to keep the hoax of “equilibrium” alive and ensure an inescapable matrix of global totalitation control.

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I get what you’re saying but I believe there is a much better, more humane way to scale back. We don’t have to be brutal, but these creeps are well known for completely lacking in empathy or morality.

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Throughout recorded human history, violence has always been the choice of those in charge. We see that with the war in Iran, in Ukraine etc, violence usually is the preferred choice because entities are bankrolling those wars and making money as a result. Martin Armstrong has a great quote: “history repeats because human nature never changes”.

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I’m not arguing this are more humane methods or not , but I am arguing this isn’t new…they are trying many other methods… 1% here 2% here death by a thousand cuts. Literally .. if we look at shortly after limits to growth came out in 1972 recommending population control by controlling the birth rate and life span and lifestyle consumption

shortly after conveniently both China started their one child policy and planned parenthood in the US took off then in the 90’s early LqTbq clubs showed up in public schools and health classes, then career before kids for women, Dinks “ dual income no kids” and don’t have kids due to climate change became popular in time magazine and other main stream articles, sperm counts mysteriously started dropping men still not understood why something new in the environment “ fertilizer? Gylosophate? Fluoride? Chemtrails?” How about that chemical that turns frogs gay and some into females…. Economic infeasible…. Women have to work vs just the man to sustain a family and housing…heck if you really go down a rabbit hole you could make a case for Fauci’s AIDS and increased condom use in the 80’s shift free free love in the 60’s. Trans and transgender chemical transition in kids free pushed by schools .

none of it turned the growth curve until the jab….. now we see birth rates crashing in some cases up to 66%in fully vaccinated women…. And birth rates crashing below 2.0 across the world heaviest in the jabbed countries

When we put our overpopulation googles on and look at all these “ organic and natural “ social changes and ding heavy NGO funding behind all of it…. It a fair case to say they have been pulling many many levers for 70 years…. Both socially and chemically biologically …. All these things main side effect in common is less kids

Then look at push for GMO vegetables with 1/5 the nutrients push for seed oils vs natural fats, sugary foods, chemicals in clothing and everything else, regular mamograms and colonoscopy potentially causing cancer, cholesterol pills causing Alzheimer’s, blood pressure pills causing cancers and let’s not forget remdemiver or Mensdealam during covid or ventilator or $30k bonuses for hospital covid deaths or demonizing ivermectin and HCQ or stacking covid patients in rest homes main side effect is shorter life span

And it’s clear by their continued behavior they still didn’t get the result they wanted on population control until the jab and clearly they still haven’t hit their target…… so now how about some wars an maybe an energy fertilizer and food shortage so more get blown up by drones or freeze and starvation… forget what the market the reason for something is look at the result and the main side effects you see a clear evil pattern for the last 70 years ….. follow the dominos to see the end game….

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More about chokepoints:

https://x.com/WeTheBrandon/status/2081029837284683858?s=20

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And more about escalation. This is stunning if true. The source is unfamiliar but is followed by investigative journalist Patrick Henningsen who I have a lot of respect for.

https://x.com/FreeTavana/status/2081097309279186950?s=20

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This entire situation is looking more World War One-ey by the day. Nobody out in the real world wants this fight, yet we’re being bumbled into it by a bunch of amateur diplomats, bubble denizens, and a very small handful of true believers. In twenty years, historians will be asking what this war was ultimately about.

However, it did nicely knock the Epstein files off the headlines. I guess there’s that.

If the Houthis hit the port at Yanbu this week, I guess that’s the next logical step in this escalation.

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The end game for those who organized for the Limits to Growth, and many other such documents, is not simply population collapse - but a system wherein there is no feasible mechanism of collective self governance available to people, who are slaves to monetary power. The entities issuing or denying credit never want to hear from a governor or prime minister or warlord again unless he or she is bowing and offering up his or her children as tribute.

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My warning to the Westerners and their partners is you can’t win yelling chicken

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Trump has at least a third alternative in Iran. #1 he can go scorched earth on Iran and bomb them back to the Stone Age. He has actually threatened this several times. #2 he can tacitly admit defeat (as in the now-defunct MOU) and slip out the back door. But he has at least this #3: he can shuffle along with an off-again, on-again military campaign and try to stretch it out to 2028 at which time he can hand it off to the next President (assuming we have a Presidential election in 2028). At that point he can retire and grant interviews criticizing whatever the new President does, claiming he would never have made such mistakes! He would think he’s saving face and his “legacy.” Isn’t that what LBJ did by handing his Vietnam quagmire to Nixon to deal with?

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Matt Bracken, Mike Adams and Michael Yon talk about the range of troubles we might have to face in the upcoming times.

Matt explains that some people say well it won’t be so bad if we digress back into the 1800s. “ I have my cowboy boots, I can plow and farm. I can operate a hand pubp well to draw water. We will make do.” They think of their great-grandparents lives.

What they don’t realize is that when the elevator gives out on the 100th floor, it may fall all the way to the basement. It might not stop at the 1800s on the way down..

He draws a comparison to a volcanic eruption that occured in roughly the 500 AD time frame. (video on the nuclear winter of 536 AD here) The earth was plunged into a global winter. No crops grew. Climate became COLD. People huddled together in small rooms, weak and freezing, and spread infections to each other.

But a few were stronger, more aggressive, more ruthless and did better becoming warlords and plundered the weaker population. Famines. Barbarism. and later, floods. They had a couple of “Mad Max” years.

The number of wild berry bushes and free running game will not be enough to keep the population alive. We may fall all the way to the basement. There may be a time of cannibalism.. [Cannibalism has 2 benefits: you get to eat something, and, you reduce the number of people locally competing for food. So it make sense from a rational point of view..]

Many cannot imagine this.

https://x.com/HealthRanger/status/2080868954080190478?s=20

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I’ll just add that we have been domesticated on purpose since Supermarkets, followed by the “Just In Time” delivery networks came into existence. What will most likely happen is people stealing from others when times get desperate. Keep in mind that back in the 1800’s and during the Great Depression, society was more civil and had a belief in God. The government over the decades, made a pointed effort to remove God from society.

Our modern civilization was created and is based on fossil fuels. There’s no going back to Little House on the Prairie days. There’s only a small segment of what would be called as off grid survivalist. The majority will start up their generators when the power goes out or take their modern conveniences with them when they go camping.

When the proverbial SHTF moment arrives, you will probably see civil unrest, riots, looting, violence as those who have and have no protection will be targeted. Meanwhile the people that started this shit will be in their multi-million dollar bunkers riding out the storm watching all the mayhem.

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Wow, powerful video clip @sand_puppy! Not that I like what they are saying, but I like that they are saying it, putting that raw truth (potentiality?) out there.

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Here is today’s conversation between Lt Col Daniel Davis and Mike Adams.

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“The conversation also covered the culture of silence inside the administration, the historical weight of decades of sanctions, and the very real risk that continued conflict could trigger an energy-driven economic crisis far beyond anyone’s control.”

The “Culture of Silence” is another symptom of a “Cult”? Trying to talk to most Americans is like trying to talk to the wall or to a chair…. But, the Americans will scream and shout loudly in public when watching banal TV Sports as a species of faux Courage.

The great Michael Yon (Sobek) has been talking about “Cults” as a form of organization to garner control over Human Resources. Is the Trump Administration in the thrall of an Elite “Cult”?

Michael Yon is an eccentric character, which may be the norm for retired U.S. Special Forces blokes?

He says that the Iran War is part of a lengthy “Process War” akin to the clearing and the settlement of the New World including the 18th and 19th Century American frontier. But, now we’re (as well as the Russians, the Persians and the A-rabs) the target “Injuns”?