Escaping Fiat Madness and Counterparty Risk With Gold, the Only "Tier Zero" Monetary Asset

Originally published at: Escaping Fiat Madness and Counterparty Risk With Gold, the Only “Tier Zero” Monetary Asset – Peak Prosperity

We’ve been covering gold for 2 decades. But things really kicked into a whole new gear in 2022 after the Biden administration weaponized the dollar by seizing Russian assets, including those of wealthy private Russian citizens.

The message: “The dollar system is not a safe place to keep your wealth.”

The reaction: “OK”

But the Biden mistake was merely the spark that ignited many decades of fiscal and monetary malfeasance. While that was cooking along, things more or less worked okay as long as you ignored things like the young and the middle classes being slowly demoralized and crushed by inflation and loss of ownership.

Now the warning signs are all about us, especially in the sudden and violent upward movement of Japanese bond yields. Today’s podcast guest, David Russell, the CEO of GoldCore, thinks that this time truly is different.

Meaning, we’ve reached the end of the road of seemingly endless monetary shenanigans. The central banks are out of road. Now comes a time of truly difficult and painful decisions.

David’s role selling and storing gold while located in Dublin Ireland, provides us with a very useful non-US perspective. He notes that US retail hasn’t really caught onto the importance of buying and holding gold, silver, platinum, and palladium yet, but the rest of the world has.

Especially BIG money, which is buying gold and other precious metals in size.

 

 

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David says the thinking is they are doing this not as a trade or with a trading mentality, but to secure a set number of ounces for their families. It’s not, “How much does it cost?” but instead asks the question, “How many can I get?”

This marks a really profound shift, one that I am proud to have helped many people get to over the years myself.

David also liked my concept of gold not being a “Tier 1” asset under the Basel III banking accord, but instead should rightly be considered a “Tier Zero” asset. Meaning, gold is not at all like cash or US Treasuries (both Tier 1 assets) because it has no counterparty risk. Gold is settlement itself. So it stands one very important rung higher on the safety ladder.

It does not require that any other counterparty be on the other side of the transaction to fulfill their end of the bargain, such as needing the US Treasury to pay off bond principal amounts when they mature. Or hoping the Fed doesn’t overprint cash, thereby debasing your holdings before you make use of them.

Gold just sits there, a shiny lump in the corner, doing absolutely nothing. Which is awesome, because that means that if The Great Taking machinery gets activated, the gold is still just sitting there, doing absolutely nothing. If the banking system freezes up, and trillions get “bailed-in,” your gold still sits there quietly in the corner doing absolutely nothing. If Japan cannot raise taxes fast enough to pay off its government bonds and either prints (a soft default) or cannot repay the maturing debt on time (a hard default), gold just sits there in the corner shining brightly in even the dimmest of light.

Big money is well-advised money, and it has apparently been advised to pile into the only Tier 0 monetary asset that has quietly been performing that role for thousands of years. You know, just in case.


Timestamps
00:00 Introduction to Precious Metals and Current Market Dynamics
02:00 The Flight to Hard Assets and Fiat Currency Crisis
06:50 The Role of Silver in Modern Technology
10:00 Japan’s Economic Situation and Potential Crisis
14:45 Understanding Counterparty and Sovereign Risk
18:27 Unprecedented Demand for Physical Precious Metals
22:21 The Shift in Investment Strategy Towards Tangible Assets
25:04 Gold as a Tier Zero Asset and Its Unique Position


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Quick thank you for adding the time stamps!

Looking forward to watching.

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Here’s a fun calculation I did for the 30-year move. I got the “math” from Grok.

Losses on a brand-new 30 year bond, purchased shortly before (yesterday’s) big move [3.562% to 3.765%, or +0.203%]. Rising rates = loss to capital. Loss math = Years of duration x Rate move. Thats 30y x 0.203% = 6.09% loss to capital.

So if your pension fund dropped 100 million on buying a “safe” 30 year JGB, they just lost 6 million in one day’s move.

So that’s close to 2 years worth of interest income, wiped off the map. Assuming they sell before expiration.

If we have any big bond traders who know better, please chime in. I’ve only done it a couple of times.

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Who actually made the decision ~2/28/2022 to seize Russia’s foreign reserves? Was it actually the US Treasury Dept. making this decision independently from the Fed. Reserve (as suggested by a contact of Grant Williams: https://yewtu.be/watch?v=jBIrOkyTZcM)? I don’t understand why this decision was made unless the intent was to actually destroy the petrodollar system.

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https://x.com/HungaryBased/status/2014027713754046494?s=20

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Read the 5 basic laws of human stupidity and you’ll have a better grasp on the situation.

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The shift in buying patterns Russell reports is interesting: buying as financial insurance, insensitivity to the recent price increases, and investors not being concerned with relatively small gains or losses. For those reasons alone, yes, it really appears to be different this time.

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I met Dave Russell at the 2024 Peak Summit and he was a stand-up guy!

I decided to sit at the international table for dinner even though I’m American. I thought it would be interesting. I sat right across from Dave, not recognizing him at first. 2 guys next to me were great, one was a black guy living in Eastern Europe…and the other was an Asian living in Denmark. We had the best time.

But…(Dave if you are reading this, I am not really like this!)…I was exhausted from inadequate sleep at the camp and probably overdosed on caffeine. I made a complete idiot out of myself talking to Dave. I was blithering about Ireland being green and made him name every county in Ireland and then said I forgot which one my ancestors were from (yes, I’m half Irish). Then I went on incoherently about financial stuff and it was like ya know when you know you sound like a dork and you keep trying to fix it and it just gets worse and worse until you realize you have just dug a hole that you can never get out of forever and this person will never respect you no matter what.

I walked away kicking myself and thinking “what the hell was I even saying?” Dave was gracious the whole time, displaying his exceptional social skills. His mama did something right. Thanks Dave, really, I’m not like that :see_no_evil_monkey: am I?

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Well, Dave, the solution is to hold long bonds for longer.

Let’s see here…if we bought the JGB 30 year in 2020…we’re only down 52.5% on a total return basis.

https://x.com/AugurInfinity/status/2013990422620615130

Am I doing this right?

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Raunchy, but I like it, from archive.org!
I’m no expert, but it reads like Heuristic Traps:
20 Things You Should Know About Heuristic Traps - mental Health Activity

“…Quick Tips to Avoid Heuristic Traps”

Pause for Perspective: Before finalizing decisions, ask if you’re relying on a “rule of thumb” that might not apply here.

Gather Counterarguments: Actively seek data or opinions that challenge your first impression.

Check Emotions: If you feel a strong emotional pull, step back and question its source—fear or excitement can inflate heuristics.

Use Simple Frameworks: Employ checklists or quick pros-and-cons lists to ensure you’ve considered key factors.

Reflect on Outcomes: After decisions play out, look back and assess whether a heuristic led you astray—then adjust accordingly.
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Just seems odd that any of us would buy long dated bonds in the recent/current environment?
So little upside and massive downside risks!

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You’re awesome…just laying it out there!

Caffeine? :sweat_smile:

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In many countries pension funds are REQUIRED to buy “safe” assets - like long-dated government bonds.

Turns out to be: a Fauci Ouchie. Not only is there a larger collapse, the pension funds die too.

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Awwwwww, how sweet, that means a lot to me:) You are too!

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$4900… just wow.

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I remember when I first started converting Fed Bux to goldandsilver in 2010 and 2011 that some star-struck lunatic predicted that in the future we’d see many $100 daily moves in gold and $1 daily moves in silver. How quaint. That might have even been on the discredited King World News.

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aaah yes forgot that safe requirement :slight_smile:

We started around then also. Can’t remember exact date or amount, but I was one of the unlucky who bought a sizable amount literally the day before the monkeys threw their hammers into the “market” and cratered the price. Win some, lose some. But I’m so sorry for that tragic boating accident or I’d have some gold I paid @$1300 for.

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My question is why? Is Japan officially bankrupt?

Edit: Did some reading and it is said Sanae Takaichi announced the dissolution of Japan’s House of Representatives for a snap general election to forward her political agenda since she is seemingly popular.

I’m no expert… but I find it interesting that as this cheap carry trade money dries up the suppression of the silver price is getting weaker and weaker.

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