Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/daily-digest/national-emergency-declared-uk-in-turmoil/
Energy & Economy
The past weekend’s market turmoil reflects deeper systemic issues, particularly the impact of a U.S. recession on global financial stability. While markets saw a slight recovery on Turnaround Tuesday, the process of repricing risk has only just begun. Economists are urging the Federal Reserve to cut rates, but the Fed remains focused on past inflation data. Japanese banks, heavily exposed to U.S. junk credit, are now pulling back, causing a ripple effect across global markets. This pullback is evident in the surge of the Yen and the sharp increase in credit spreads, indicating liquidity problems and a reassessment of risk. The recent disappointing jobs report has led to calls for emergency rate cuts.
The Japanese Yen has experienced a significant drop due to divergent monetary policies between Japan and other developed economies, particularly the United States. While the U.S. Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, the Bank of Japan has maintained low rates to stimulate its stagnant economy. This disparity has weakened the Yen, prompting Japanese authorities to consider selling off some of their U.S. Treasury holdings to stabilize the currency. Norinchukin Bank plans to liquidate $63 billion in U.S. and European treasuries to address unrealized losses. Japan’s decision to sell U.S. debt is driven by the need to reduce interest rate risk and diversify assets, potentially impacting the value of the U.S. dollar and contributing to broader financial instability.
Despite the turmoil, global oil demand is projected to rise in the latter half of 2024, according to Saudi Aramco’s CEO Amin Nasser. He anticipates an increase of 1.6 to 2 million barrels per day (bpd), aligning more closely with OPEC’s forecast of 2.2 million bpd than the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) estimate of around 970,000 bpd. This divergence in projections comes amid a recent slump in oil prices, driven by concerns over a potential U.S. recession and weak demand in China. Nasser reportedly believes the market has overreacted, asserting that fundamentals do not support the current price drop.
Politics
In the UK, Wakefield Council has issued its first fine for the illegal use of domestic log burners, a move aimed at curbing excessive smoke emissions and improving air quality. The new measures, part of the Environment Act 2021, allow for fines starting at £175, rising to £300 for repeat offenders. The council investigated 216 complaints related to domestic chimneys between 2019 and 2022, highlighting the need for stricter regulations. The initiative also targets sellers of prohibited solid fuels and non-approved appliances, aiming to reduce harmful pollution and its adverse health impacts.
Revolver News has been investigating the January 6 pipe bomb incidents, focusing on the involvement of Vice President Kamala Harris and the Secret Service. A recent DHS Office of Inspector General (OIG) report reveals that Harris’ Secret Service detail failed to detect a pipe bomb at the DNC, despite a canine unit sweep before her arrival. The report highlights inconsistencies in the Secret Service’s account, including the absence of Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) personnel, which the agency claimed required 72 hours’ notice. The bomb was discovered by a Capitol Police officer shortly after another device was found near the RNC, coinciding with the initial breach of the Capitol’s West perimeter. The OIG report raises questions about the Secret Service’s actions and Harris’ behavior.
The UK government has declared a National Emergency due to escalating unrest, primarily in large cities but also spreading to smaller towns. A COBRA meeting was convened to address the crisis. The unrest has led to severe incidents, including the burning of hotels housing migrants and violent clashes between far-right rioters and Muslim counter-protesters. Police have been overwhelmed, and the violence has spread to Ireland and Northern Ireland. Several countries have issued travel warnings against visiting the UK. The government is attempting to respond with swift legal action, opening courts 24/7 to process arrests quickly. However, there are concerns about the adequacy of prison spaces to accommodate the influx of detainees.
Health
Peggy Hall from thehealthyamerican.org has addressed recent headlines about Connecticut removing religious exemptions for vaccinations in schools. Connecticut joins several other states in eliminating these exemptions. Hall emphasizes that the legal battle isn’t over, as the case is still in Connecticut’s lower courts. She criticizes the list of required vaccinations for children and expresses concerns about government overreach. Hall argues that the Religious Freedom and Restoration Act (RFRA) undermines constitutional protections for religious freedom by allowing the government to override religious rights for public safety. She encourages parents to seek alternative education options and urges continued vigilance and advocacy.
Sources
Saudi Aramco Predicts Oil Demand Surge Despite Market Skepticism
Saudi Aramco’s chief executive Amin Nasser said on Tuesday, noting that the past week’s selloff in oil doesn’t reflect fundamentals.
Source | Submitted by AaronMcKeon
Wakefield Council Issues First Fine for Illegal Log Burner Use Amid Rising Complaints
Wakefield Council brought in new measures in December to allow environmental health officers to issue fixed penalty notices to stop “excessive smoke emissions”.
Source | Submitted by Walberga
OIG Report Reveals Kamala Harris’ Secret Service Role in January 6 Pipe Bomb Cover-Up
“Now, based on conversations with several individuals with direct knowledge of the DHS Office of Inspector General’s report on the Secret Service’s activities on January 6, we can confirm definitively that Kamala’s Secret Service detail played an immediate and direct role in the cover-up of the DNC pipe bomb hoax on January 6th.”
Source | Submitted by joe tenaglia
Turnaround Tuesday: Markets Rebound Amid Global Recession Fears
“Now, today is Turnaround Tuesday, and that’s the day when markets retrace following a big weekend crash or a shift that extends into a Monday.”
Source | Submitted by rhollenb
Inflationary Depression: Are We Already There?
“Today, we are supposed to trust and rely on data that few professionals anymore actually believe is real.”
Source | Submitted by rhollenb
Yen’s Plunge Prompts Japan to Liquidate US Treasuries Amid Diverging Monetary Policies
Japan is considering selling off some of its US Treasury holdings as part of its strategy to stabilize the Yen.
Source | Submitted by rhollenb
UK Declares National Emergency Amid Escalating Race Riots and Unrest
The UK government has declared a national emergency.
Source | Submitted by Kathy
Connecticut’s Vaccine Exemption Battle: “It Ain’t Over Till It’s Over”
“It ain’t over till it’s over.”
Source | Submitted by Diversityhobbit