Russia Halts Oil Supply to Germany as Tehran Counts Cost of War & Virginia Faces Vote Controversy... Again

Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/russia-halts-oil-supply-to-germany-as-tehran-counts-cost-of-war-virginia-faces-vote-controversy-again/

Energy

Iran reportedly continues exporting oil via the Strait of Hormuz using dark fleet tankers that disable transponders and employ signal spoofing. Satellite imagery shows two Iran-flagged very large crude carriers, Hero II and Hedy, laden with about 4 million barrels, exiting the Gulf past the US blockade. Another tanker delivered 2 million barrels offshore Indonesia before returning to Kharg Island. Maritime intelligence firms note reliance on dark activity, ship-to-ship transfers, and alternative routes east of Hormuz. U.S. Central Command reported directing 29 vessels to turn around or return to port in enforcement of the blockade.

Meanwhile, the UK and France are leading a 30-nation coalition at a two-day conference hosted by Britain to advance military plans for reopening the Strait of Hormuz following a sustainable ceasefire. UK Defence Secretary John Healey said the effort aims to translate diplomatic consensus into joint action to safeguard navigation, support energy security, and stabilize the global economy. The effort continues despite US President Donald Trump extending the US-Iran ceasefire while maintaining a naval blockade at the strait, which Iran calls a siege. Negotiations remain stalled after a US Vice President JD Vance trip to Pakistan was postponed.

In other news, Russia plans to suspend Kazakh crude oil shipments to Germany via the Druzhba pipeline starting May 1, citing technical issues. The suspension affects the PCK Schwedt refinery, which supplies much of Berlin’s fuel, jet fuel, and heating oil. Kazakhstan exported 2.146 million metric tons via the pipeline last year and 730,000 tons in the first quarter of this year. Rosneft Deutschland confirmed the suspension, stated it is assessing impacts, and said it does not jeopardize Germany’s supply security. Alternatives include shipments via Russia’s Ust-Luga port, the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, or increased supplies from Poland’s Gdansk port. Germany’s Economy Ministry noted potential regional pricing effects but affirmed supply security even at reduced refinery capacity. The northern Druzhba branch serves Germany separately from the southern branch to Hungary and Slovakia, which is resuming after repairs from a Russian drone strike.

Geopolitics

In the past day, Iran’s IRGC seized two commercial ships, MSC Francesca and Epaminondas, in the Strait of Hormuz after attacking three, and escorted them to Iranian waters. President Trump gave Iran a few days to offer a peace plan, shifting from an indefinite ceasefire. Mediators seek a Friday US-Iran meeting amid US interceptions over Erbil and false alarm strikes later identified as IRGC drills. The Senate rejected limiting Trump’s war powers by a 51-46 vote.

Additionally, US intelligence indicates Iran retains 50% of missile launchers, 60% of the IRGC Navy, and two-thirds of the air force. Meanwhile, a Center for Strategic and International Studies analysis states the US expended nearly half its Patriot interceptor inventory, over half its THAAD systems, and 45% of Precision Strike Missiles during the seven-week Iran war, now paused by a ceasefire. Replenishing stocks like Tomahawks and JASSMs could take one to four years, according to the analysis. Pre-war stockpiles were already insufficient for peer conflicts like with China, it adds. The Pentagon maintains that the US military remains the world’s most powerful.

Lastly, the ceasefire has given the opportunity to assess damage in Tehran. Residents report widespread destruction, with shattered buildings and rubble across blocks in the nine-million-person city. Nationwide, satellite analysis indicates over 7,600 damaged or destroyed structures, including 2,800 in Tehran, affecting homes, businesses, and public facilities. At least 3,300 deaths occurred across Iran. Iranian officials estimate reconstruction costs near $270 billion amid inflation potentially exceeding 70%, business shutdowns, rising unemployment, and disruptions to steel and petrochemical plants. Iranian officials are considering reparations or leveraging the Strait of Hormuz for funding.

Privacy & Surveillance

The UK High Court ruled the Metropolitan Police’s live facial recognition policy complies with the European Convention on Human Rights, dismissing a challenge by youth worker Shaun Thompson and Big Brother Watch’s Silkie Carlo. The technology scans faces in public, creates biometric templates compared to watchlists, and deletes non-matches. It was deployed 231 times last year, processing four million faces, including more than 50,000 in four and a half hours at Oxford Circus. Thompson was wrongly stopped near London Bridge in February 2024, questioned, and threatened with arrest. The court found the policy provides reasonable foreseeability for use in crime hotspots, events, or intelligence areas, with proportionality assessments. No specific complaint system exists for facial recognition issues. Policing Minister Sarah Jones announced a nationwide rollout with investment. Thompson plans to appeal. The Metropolitan Police welcomed the judgment as confirmation of the technology’s lawfulness and safeguards.

US Politics

Virginia’s special election on a congressional redistricting referendum—in which the anti-redistricting “no” vote initially led—changed after late Fairfax County updates and mail-in ballots. Three batches of votes, mostly from Fairfax, were reported at 8:43 pm, 8:59 pm, and 9:16 pm on election night, shifting leads for the “yes” position on redistricting. Mail-ins comprised 10% of votes, with 73% “yes,” adding a net 137,000 for “yes,” exceeding the margin. Multiple counties reported vote totals decreasing, including Chesterfield’s 71,903 deduction and others totaling 18,476 in one report.

Tazewell County Circuit Judge Jack Hurley blocked certification, ruling the referendum illegal due to improper ballot placement process and misleading language. The initial October approval violated the constitution, requiring two General Assembly passages with an intervening House election, according to the judge. Democrats, led by Attorney General Jay Jones, vowed an immediate appeal, arguing voters had spoken. Republicans called it a block on an unconstitutional power grab. The ruling halts map implementation for elections. The Virginia Supreme Court may have final say. The decision addressed constitutional procedural issues rather than fraud allegations.

Artificial Intelligence

MIT researchers have reportedly developed Recursive Language Models (RLMs), an AI architecture with perfect recall of all read data, eliminating reliance on Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG). RLMs treat long documents as external Python variables in a sandbox. On queries, the AI generates code to search, slice, and filter data, spawning sub-AIs to process snippets in parallel without summarization or deletion. It handles inputs up to 10 million tokens, two orders beyond standard contexts. On long-context benchmarks, standard models scored 0.04 while RLMs achieved 58.00 at a lower cost than massive prompts.

European Politics

French police reportedly used drones equipped with thermal imaging to locate cattle hidden by farmers who refuse vaccination. Police and vaccine administrators then arrived to vaccinate the livestock. The action occurred at a farm last week, although reports of “large teams of police” may be overstated. The reports originated from social media videos amid France’s ongoing vaccination campaign against lumpy skin disease in cattle.

Economy

California Attorney General Rob Bonta released an unredacted court filing alleging Amazon orchestrated a price-fixing scheme by pressuring brands like Levi Strauss and Hanes to raise prices at rivals, including Walmart and Target. Internal emails reportedly show Amazon flagging lower prices, prompting vendors to coordinate hikes, such as Levi’s restoring khaki pants to $29.99 at Walmart. Similar actions involved Hanes, Allergan eye drops, pet treats with Chewy, and furniture at Home Depot. Amazon used tools like CRaP flags, margin demands, and phone discussions to enforce, according to the filing. The state calls it illegal under the Cartwright Act, harming consumers with an invisible price floor. Amazon denies the allegations, citing low prices and old evidence. A preliminary injunction hearing is set for July 23, 2026, amid related FTC and DOJ antitrust cases.

Sources

French Police Deploy Thermal Drones to Vaccinate Hidden Cattle

French police are now using drones equipped with thermal imaging, to locate cattle hidden in the country, whose owners (Farmers) refused to vaccinate.

Source | Submitted by Patriot83

Russia to Halt Kazakh Oil to Germany via Druzhba Pipeline

Russia said it would halt Kazakh crude-oil shipments to Germany through the major Druzhba pipeline next month after reporting “technical issues.”

Source

UK, France Lead 30-Nation Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

UK, France Lead 30-Nation Military Push to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

Source

US Burns Half Its Patriot Missiles in Iran War, CSIS Study Reveals

The Pentagon burned through almost 50% of its Patriot missiles.

Source

Tehran Digs Through Rubble: Vast Destruction Revealed After Ceasefire

Widespread signs of damage, from shattered buildings to entire blocks reduced to rubble.

Source

California Unmasks Amazon’s Alleged Price-Fixing Scheme in Bombshell Unredacted Filing

Amazon strong-armed brands like Levi Strauss and Hanes into pressuring Walmart, Target and other rivals to raise prices

Source

Iran’s Dark Fleet Tankers Slip Past U.S. Blockade

Iranian flows continue via deception, including dark activity and ship-to-ship transfers.

Source

UK High Court Backs Police Facial Recognition, Nationwide Rollout Imminent

The people most fond of the phrase “nothing to hide, nothing to fear” are, without exception, the ones doing the watching.

Source

Iran Seizes Ships in Hormuz as Trump Sets Peace Deadline Amid Intel Bombshell

Iran attacked three commercial ships in Hormuz, seizing two and escorting them to Iranian waters.

Source

Virginia’s Redistricting Vote Flips on Suspicious Fairfax Dumps and Mail-In Surge

Most of the votes from all 3 of these came from Fairfax County, one of Virginia’s most reliable vote manufacturing hubs.

Source

MIT’s RLMs: AI with Perfect Memory That Ditches RAG Forever

MIT has done the unthinkable. They built an AI that doesn’t need RAG, and it has perfect memory of everything it’s ever read.

Source

Virginia Judge Blocks Redistricting Referendum Certification, Democrats Vow Appeal

Judge blocks certification of Virginia redistricting referendum, Democrats plan appeal

Source

In addition to sources submitted by community members, the following were also used in the creation of this report: Reuters, X.com, Facebook, U.S. Central Command, Metropolitan Police UK, BBC News, The Washington Post, and Wikipedia.

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A couple years ago, Martin Armstrong was projecting the war cycle extending into 2028 and Europe would be the flashpoint. Pretty prescient because the EU Urusla von der Layen has grouped Turkey with Russia and China. Russia is the place the EU is salivating to go to war with so as to conquer Russia and take its $75T worth of natural resources. Turkey is also on Israel’s next hit list after Iran.

So…the Iran war results in Europe realizing it has shot itself in the foot energy-wise and is now trying to blame it on anyone but themselves.
The big bully on the block has run out of rocks to throw over the fence (throwing Ferraris at frisbees) and would like time to regroup via an all-parties-agreed-to-ceasefire (good luck with that) that will benefit only the bully. Strategy, there’s your strategy!
Tehran is a wreck as a result (how many yankees still think this can’t happen here?)
The english have implemented precrime/not precrime policies and would like us all to pay no attention to the obvious. (right, just like last time) or even think about the implications.
Election fraud is alive and well in the Virginia redistricting vote. Nothing new or novel in the techniques used, once again - please pay no attention.
Court challenges ensue, but will they stand?
Anyone still think rule of law exists in the US, or anywhere in the west for that matter?
That’s the bigger question if I get to have an opinion about it…
IA now writes it’s own code to AI the AI. You follow that, right?
Is the snake eating it’s own tail yet?
Maybe ask the AI. They’ve lost me.
French cattle need vaccines. Good Gawd. This is truly 6 degrees from reality.
Does ANYONE remember how we got here?
For some reason in a fit of nostalgia I was looking up Levis 501 shrink-to-fit jeans yesterday to see if there still was such a thing.
I discovered that maybe there were, but you had to buy them from Schrodinger’s jeans warehouse where neither the jeans nor the price were verifiable. Hrumph.
And now I see why. But hey, the lawyers will get a payday, so that makes it ok, yes?
Could our world possibly be more full of shit than it is right now?
Well don’t answer yet, because there’s still one day left to go this week.
I think I can hear George Carlin laughing - don’t say you weren’t warned!
Have a nice day everyone, tomorrow may not be much better.

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https://x.com/baoshaoshan/status/2047312817519525955?s=20

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I asked AI how French authorities using drones determined if cattle were vaccinated. I received several rounds of AI obfuscation before I found a large language model of my own to get to the facts: Finally, AI agreed with the premise I put forth: Correct. French authorities do not use drones to directly scan the electronic identification (EID) tags of cattle from the air; instead, they use drones to locate and map herds and then cross-reference those findings with the National Cattle Identification Database (BDNI) to verify vaccination status

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I know it will happen here. This is just a small sampling but most of my coworkers (boomers/my age) think the USrael have been too weak with Iran and should have finished them off a long time ago!

The train wreck will occur when we can NO longer service our debt. We are in the $1T in interest alone per year and the interest payments continue to grow. Wars bankrupt countries and empires. Our commitments to Israel, fighting its wars, along with forever wars is why we have debt levels currently at $40 trillion. The alarm bells should be the growing concern of nations wanting to move away from the dollar.

That’s what happens when governments weaponize their currency. The time will come when the US will no longer be able to find buyers of new debt to pay off the old debt. Israel is dependent on the US for its support and aid. When the US collapses or breaks apart, Israel will find itself trying to fend off all the enemies it created and Big Brother won’t be there to help them out.

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Sage observations on my kneejerk reactive barf inspired quip on this mornings current affairs Rodster.
As truthstream media often says - we are living in a simulation now, and probably have been for a long time.
Nobody who cared would run a country the way we do.
Crash incoming.
PS - What would the world look like today if we’d just left Iran completely alone post WWII?
Maybe an unpopular question for boomers, but I am one also - and that’s mine.

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https://x.com/OcrazioCornPop/status/2047296917516833208?s=20

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https://x.com/canindependent/status/2047319341369045335?s=20

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https://x.com/PeterSweden7/status/2047425348195828153?s=20

Since covid vaccination was a PUBLIC HEALTH POLICY then the state can be sued for vaccine harms.

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I have a love/hate relationship with the State being held liable. Because none of the pharmaceutical companies lose money from being held liable. And neither do the politicians on pharma’s payroll who make the decisions. The payouts come from the taxpayers - the very people who were the victims. Glad for those who get compensation for their suffering though. But doubtful anything about this changes behavior going forward.

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