The fact alone that he had an rf transmitter with him illustrates not only that he potentially had the ability to detonate remote explosives, but I think also lends to the possibility that he could jam certain radio frequencies. Possibly another use for this device I believe could be a cell phone or two-way radio jammer, and such interference could prove fatal for a plan based around cellular or rf communications. Crooks, despite his unfortunate surname, I do not believe to be some bumbling idiot. Sources point to him doing significant research far in advance of his action. To the point that he could remote detonate homemade explosives. Were he intelligent enough to comprehend and apply remote detonation, I imagine remote jamming to be a simple exercise for him. And as far as I’ve seen reported, local law enforcement had a problem with their cell phone reception/connectivity, yet again hampering their response to the shooter. And that would be a possible explanation as to why the device was on his person even though the remote detonable devices receivers were left in the off position.
A valid assumption, there very may well have been, but to that end where would they be found, how did they find them, and where are they now? And if there were actually more receivers found, do you think that information would be publicly released, or would it be more likely to be shrouded in secrecy?
Perhaps we need to inquire with the Fraudsters.[video posted Aug 21, 2024]
“Remember, if something seems like it’s too good to be true, it probably is.”
Supposing you were to take shots at a political figure, assuming you wanted to live to see another sunrise and fight another day, where would you place remotely detonatable explosives to create a distraction? I would think in the opposite direction of your getaway, an obvious misdirection. Perhaps somewhere along the vendor alleyway, or nearby?
Agreed, I would think somewhere to the South of the rally would be the obvious location, since I would have assumed his best flight path is east thru the woods or maybe blending in with the crown running north.
Yet his alleged car (linked to him) with an IED was parked north I think, and the alleged van (not linked to him, apparently Arizona plates/reg) was parked to the NE. None of this makes sense for a person intending to live. The car would presumably be easily linked to him. And these only make sense if helpers are to position these vehicles but they failed. I cannot make sense of his plan.
Indeed, it might be the “Die Hard 1” escape plan. Should look like he accidentally exploded his car and died on the road. (The only problem, he would needed another dead body. But maybe the alleged handlers told him that would be delivered. Am I crasy?)
Van: From what we are told it had AZ plates suggesting either a rental or a partner from AZ. Some say Yearick was from AZ and a revolutionary type and a family that has experience with bombs. I don’t know. Leaving aside the ID of his partner, while Crooks is getting into position, said partner would be parking the IED van to the S of the rally. Crooks has detonator, partner would park the van, leave, and activate the IEDs (we were told the trigger was in the “off” position). This van would be detonated by Crooks immediately after the shooting using his device on his person.
2A: Partner would move to the car, plant the bomb in a 2nd location (gas station, or elsewhere) and either he or Crooks would detonate as a diversion. Crooks escapes to the East past the water tower, partner picks him up. Escape complete.
OR
2B: Partner escapes. Crooks escapes to vehicle, plants IED as a 2nd diversion, and drives away. Escape complete.
Nice, Kincses! I’ve matched your rows with the spreadsheet by ID. It’s a shame not all manufacturers publish the full data for their cartridges, really. I’ll try to work on it tonight, maybe add some automation to it, add some simple bells and whistles, make it easier to change parameters. Thanks!
Take the distances in subsequent power, invert the matrix, multiple by velocities, there you get the coefficients. Then you can multiple those coefficients by the distance you want at subsequent powers and add them up. (Math teachers may protest against 0^0=1.)
You can also use Lagrange’s method, but I found that too complicated.
The 3rd method is the partial “linear” regression with the same trick of distances at power.
(I guess this might work even with fractional powers, but that is a candy.)
Oh, I just went simple tonight, @kincses-zsolt … maybe over the weekend I’ll try to add it, so we can get more out of the data.
However, I did add your calculated data to V3 (look at S6 please).
I’ve added two ways of calculating the average velocity from the snick-report (the one @cohler mentioned, with the bullet-mic distance and one without it on header at column V), so it could be better visualized and also allow for 2 conditional formatting ranges on the same columns. There are some instructions at the top.
AmmoData-v3 is available here so everyone can take their candidates, and consequently improve trajectory simulation.
Guy to left back of Nicol eyes him suspiciously. Like he knows he is lying. Long before I knew that was Nicol, I felt Nicol was lying and the guy back of him made it more clear. I’d have to back and find your names photo but these are things that bug me and I cannot get them out of my head. Doesn’t prove anything but body language matters. I can’t do all the gun logistics or the timing stuff, etc. that you guys are doing. But when something bugs me, I keep looking.
I think we still don’t know who that guy is. He’s probably with Beaver ESU, so maybe we can track him down. Maybe I can try to do that on my next investigation shift.
Yes, and here is the list we have to choose from, based on a List of Beaver County Salaries that @brian60221 provided.
However, I don’t think the unknowns were even at the rally. According to the Communications List Beaver County ESU only had 5 people there, and we already have 5 accounted for. I updated my graphic in the post above.
I did a lot of work on it last night but did not have the time to put anything together before I had to go to bed. I will get a detailed response to you in the next few hours - before I go to bed at least. I have only just come back from work. I am on UK time also.
You mean no way to calculate the average velocity without knowing the mic-bullet distance, yes? Well, I’m not good at physics equations, but the approach used on cells V2 and V3 result in the exact same Velocity values as the formula from your Desmos calculator when the bullet-mic distances are zeroed on cells T2 and T3… And it wasn’t me, I just asked AI for an approach, so I thought of adding both to the spreadsheet, just in case we would like to compare the approaches. When I asked which one is best suited for the task at hand, which is filtering data rows to get bullet candidates, it actually told me to forget about the mic-bullet distances unless I absolutely knew them, like you said, and that the best way would be to use the approach on V2 and V3. Anyway, they’re both there… so which cartridges are your top 5 likely candidates?
Let me give you an example. The train went from A town to B town with constant velocity 80, but it can go back slower, only with velocity 60. What is the average velocity? (The average of two velocities is 70, but it is not the average velocity.)
As I remember: v=1/(1/v1+1/v2)
but maybe 2/…
Our problem is the following: we need a lot of small distances, equaly small length.
