The Big Print: How to Survive the Coming Inflationary Times

Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/the-big-print-how-to-survive-the-coming-inflationary-times/

For this week’s Finance U episode, I had the privilege of interviewing Lawrence “Larry” Lepard, an investment manager at Equity Management Associates LLC, a sound money advocate, and author of the new book The Big Print.

“Fix the money, fix the world,” Larry says, echoing my own view that fiat money is corrupt by its very design.

The US is on an unsustainable fiscal trajectory, and that can be determined simply by as looking at this one chart of GDP (red) and total debt in the US system (blue):

As I am fond of saying, you cannot grow your debts faster than your income forever.

In Lepard’s book, this gap aligns with Stein’s Law: “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.” Larry’s view is that there’s always a chance things could turn around, but in this case, that would require thoughtful and brave leadership to suddenly emerge who would be willing to lead people through a very painful period of readjustment.

How likely is that?

It’s a Moral Issue

Both Larry and I have been tracking the fiscal and monetary issues for a long time. And it’s downright frustrating to watch the Fed and the US government double and then triple down on their middle-class ruinous policies while pretending to care about the average person.

The Fed enabled and juiced every crisis through its interventionist zero-interest-rate policies (ZERP) and quantitative easing (QE).

By printing money into existence, the Fed cheats everybody who has to work for their money. And there was no grander period of cheating than that performed because of the Covid “emergency.”

Every single saved dollar in existence was cut by 40% when the Fed printed up 40% more dollars in just 2 years:

This is no different than reaching into everybody’s savings account and removing 40% of their purchasing power. Instead, it is called inflation and we’re all suffering at the grocery store, with our insurance premiums, and real estate tax hikes.

In other words, it’s immoral.

Big Players Starting to Get Twitchy

Notably, lots of big financial insiders are starting to get worried. They are beginning to say the same sorts of things that Larry Lepard has been saying for years. Ray Dalio of Bridgewater Assocaites, is saying that this all ends very badly:

History tells us the preferred path for government policymakers trying to deal with too much debt is lowering interest rates and devaluing the currency the debt is denominated in.Doing this is a very hidden way of reducing wealth, because as your currency goes down, it makes it… pic.twitter.com/F6O60CogZG

— Ray Dalio (@RayDalio) July 3, 2025

Jamie Dimon the CEO of JPMorgan has warned that the bond market may crack:

I guess we don’t need to say it anymore.-Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase “You are going to see a crack in the bond market, okay. It is going to happen” pic.twitter.com/GRMYWN8tAd

— Vandell | Black Swan Capitalist (@vandell33) May 31, 2025

While Elon Musk is all over “X” saying that the US fiscal situation is going to end in disaster:

And Jerome Powell is on record saying over and over again that the US government is on a fiscally unsustainable path.

When the big boys start to get twitchy, it’s time to get defensive.

Call To Action

There’s nothing the average person can do about the Federal Reserve or the federal government’s policies and actions. But we can protect our wealth by moving it into hard assets. Larry says that anybody who doesn’t move at least 20% of their wealth/savings into hard assets will come to regret that decision over the coming years.

The Federal Reserve is going to print and then print some more. Hence the name of Larry’s book The Big Print. He believes the next Big Print episode will take the Fed’s balance sheet from ~$7 trillion to between $15 trillion and $30 trillion. Inflation is going to rip higher and higher into the social structure, claiming new victims from ever-higher rungs of the socioeconomic ladder.

I urge listeners to read The Big Print, follow Lepard at @LawrenceLepard on X, and visit EMA2.com for his quarterly insights. At Peak Prosperity and Peak Financial Investing, we’ll continue advocating for financial resilience. Let’s end the Fed’s grip on our money and rebuild a system that works for all.


FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER. PEAK PROSPERITY, LLC, AND PEAK FINANCIAL INVESTING ARE NOT ENGAGED IN RENDERING LEGAL, TAX, OR FINANCIAL ADVICE OR SERVICES VIA THIS WEBSITE. NEITHER PEAK PROSPERITY, LLC NOR PEAK FINANCIAL INVESTING ARE FINANCIAL PLANNERS, BROKERS, OR TAX ADVISORS. Their websites are intended only to assist you in your financial education. Your personal financial situation is unique, and any information and advice obtained through this website may not be appropriate for your situation. Accordingly, before making any final decisions or implementing any financial strategy, you should consider obtaining additional information and advice from your accountant or other financial advisers who are fully aware of your individual circumstances.

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Love this interview. Thanks Chris. Larry Leopard is a great resource!
That 14% of Americans owning BTC is a stat I have never heard.

From a market adoption view:

Up to 10% = hard to survive

Over 10% - hard to kill

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Finally! He’s starting to get it :smiley:

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Can someone please explain to me what happens to my bitcoin if we get hit with a massive solar flare that knocks out the power grid for 10+ years?

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It will do the same thing to it as every other electronic ledger that matters to you…bank accounts, investments, your mortgage, pay checks, medical, government, grocery stores.

And it wouldnt take 10 years. A few months would likely suffice to destroy every thing near and dear to you and your surroundings.

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I think you know!

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What does “crack in the bond market” mean?

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I actually don’t know. There’s a logic problem here that I can’t figure out. I think a large solar flare is quite possible to the point of being likely and overdue, and that it will take out our power grid for quite a while, if it ever comes back at all.

It’s a mystery to me that otherwise intelligent people don’t also see this danger. So, if a total grid collapse will take down bitcoin, then why are otherwise intelligent people confident in pouring their wealth into bitcoin? There must be something I’m missing. I’m far from the brightest crayon in the bottom of the toybox, but surely the truly smart money can explain to me what their backup plan is for holding on to all their bitcoin value if the power grid ceases to exist for 10 years. Or even 3 years.

I think if the grid was down for even one year, we’d have a very large population collapse, and it would be nearly impossible to kick-start civilization again to anything that could make use of electronic currency.

So, what am I missing? Does bitcoin have some invincibility factor that I’m not aware of, that it would survive without electricity?

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You hold up your thumb drive at the local farming swap lot and declare how much money you have to all within earshot, and then they give you meat and eggs?

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It means suddenly nobody wants to buy your crappy debt.

If that happens, it might look like this:

https://x.com/Birdyword/status/1940390808521519180

And you’ll know it’s serious if it comes with a corresponding fall in your sovereign currency, like this:

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This remains one of my largest points of concern about Bitcoin. Larry Fink’s entire existence centers on stealing from everyone.

https://x.com/BitcoinNews21M/status/1940785510907265174

While it could be spun that it’s good to have an $11 trillion ‘manager’ on your side, it also means that Larry Fink is on your side.

So I’m not sure how that’s compatible with ‘freedom’ or ‘the people’s chosen money.’

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BTC is not perfect. Nothing that man makes ever is. Its a tool, just like our bank accounts, investment accounts, cash, pms, food, etc.

The question is when?

Nobody knows and Chris and many others here including myself still have investments in the market. If the power goes out are we getting our investments back? When exactly and will it be in its entirety? What about the premise of the Great Taking?

Its likely that some will get trapped in these investments but we still play the game of musical chairs.

If so, will shaking your thumb drive containing account balances at your mortgage bank or any other creditor be any more successful than shaking your BTC thumb drive at a farmers market?

Of course not, its why we dont rely on any one thing.

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For foreign investors who own nearly $40 trillion invested in dollar-denominated deposits and underlying financial assets. The dollar’s trade weighted index has declined a net 10.7% since 1 January, wiping out modest gains in equities and bonds. The TWI’s chart is shown next:

For now, against other currencies the dollar appears to be in free-fall. And it is no comfort to foreigners that President Trump is racking up more debt and calling for a lower dollar and lower interest rates. Foreigners will increasingly realise the prospect of currency losses is wiping out the value of underlying financial investments. The prospect of a dollar cascading lower is highly likely when $40 trillion seeks an exit.

For half a century the US/West has played a dance keeping the Dollar and other $DXY members in a convenient range to each other.
That relationship has been weakening and begun to unravel as the US and other members no longer can “carry the Illusion” required, because all the earlier basics and character of the economies involved do not exist.
All the power transferred to the Global South now is swamping the rapidly declining West.

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that’s hilarious, because I’d likely be the one bringing the meat and eggs to the swap, as well.

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Many people misinterpret my occasional defense of Bitcoin for being some type of BTC evangelist. Nope.

Its one of many tools and it works for me, not everyone. I get it. I do see the same arguments on both sides regurgitated and the topic brought up over and over again in many other threads and its not usually the BTC bro’s broaching it.

Its my observation that the cons have a more visceral repugnance and lack of logic attached to them than those that may see a use case. I can still be swayed by logic either way but the anti’s seem to be more emotion driven.

Would you consider having a dialogue with one of the many proponents Chris? A Jeff Booth, Michael Saylor, Anthony Pompliano, Robery Kayosaki, et al?

I would love to see if you could be swayed by their logic and also to see your ability to pick apart many of the weaknesses in the asset. Not a challenge to you per se, just a good dialogue that I think many here would find interesting and beneficial.

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Thank you. It matters to me, because I am likely lower income than most of you, and even dipping a toe into crypto has a higher risk, because I have so much less income to invest in any one element of diversity.

I am considering putting $1000 into bitcoin, and that may sound like nothing to high rollers, but $1000 would buy 1000 feet of livestock fencing for me, and if it all goes out in a solar flare, 1000 feet of livestock fence would be worth far more than $1000 of bitcoin.

I am a housewife/farmwife. All the income is from my husband’s blue collar labor. He has been extremely sweet and tolerant of my ‘end of the world’ fantasies, so I am hesitant to ask him to diversify into something as risky as bitcoin, when all our other extra funds have gone into PMs or more traditional forms of savings.

I have to carefully consider my asks, since I have already spent a few thousand of his hard earned pay on a well drilling crew that didn’t hit water. He took that loss in good humor, but money doesn’t exactly grow on trees around here.

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I love your post and I can relate. I’m not rich by any means but we’re doing ok for now. Like everyone else, we’re just trying to figure out how not to get wiped out from what lies ahead. I’m also from a blue collar background and never made the big bucks. We did OK though by living below our means for years and years and by steadily contributing to various equity based investments and retirement vehicles.

So what worked for me was DCA’ing over long periods of time and relatively stable markets but of course even then we had many speed bumps and glitches along the way. But I kept at it though, high or low it came out of the paycheck and completely bypassed my irrational, occasionally impulsive little fingers.

I dont think that equity based strategy will continue going forward and I’m no where as sharp or as sophisticated as many others here investment wise. One thing I can say and what has worked for me, and I think is still good advices, is to never lump sum into anything. DCA, twenty, fifty, a hundred bucks a week/month whatever is comfortable to you and your family.

Of course, I dont recommend lump summing out of most investments either. Unless its to buy land, other hard assets or an emergency.

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So I view BTC as a risk asset rather than an insurance asset. I take this from the MacAlvaney’s three legged approach. Three basic legs; cash/cash equivalents, risk assets, insurance assets. Try to keep them relatively equal.
Therefore I have some BTC but no more than I can afford to lose. It is my only risk asset.

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I was thinking that too. $1000 into bitcoin would take me about 3 months to save up, but I wouldn’t cry too hard if it evaporated.

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What is DCA? I am ignorant on many things. Thank you for your responses.

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