Ukraine Hits Russia's Last Gas Refinery, Trump Targets Iran Bridges & Energy, Australia Youth Cancer Surges

Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/ukraine-hits-russias-last-gas-refinery-trump-targets-iran-bridges-energy-australia-youth-cancer-surges/

Energy

Ukraine’s special forces, in cooperation with a Russian group called Black Spark, struck the Gazprom-owned Neftehim Salavat refinery, which has been described as Russia’s last remaining undamaged major gasoline producer. The facility produced 11,000 tons of fuel per day, representing about 5 percent of Russian domestic demand. Russian sources have described damage as limited, with production expected to resume soon.

Speaking of Russia, in a reported effort to front-run the impending ban on Russian LNG imports, the EU imported 9.97 million metric tons worth €5.96 billion from Russia’s Yamal facility in the first half of 2026, an increase of 16 percent from the prior year. Europeans purchased more than 97 percent of Yamal’s output. Hungary and Slovakia continue to receive Russian crude via the Druzhba pipeline under exemptions. The full ban goes into effect on January 1, 2027, and critics have highlighted perceived inconsistencies in continued purchases amid sanctions rhetoric.

Meanwhile, Iran stated through Tasnim that it would strike the UAE’s Fujairah pipeline and Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline if a U.S. blockade continues, declaring that “either everyone exports, or no one does.”

Lastly, Rystad Energy projects Venezuelan crude output will rise 17 percent, or about 194,000 barrels per day, between the fourth quarter of 2025 and the fourth quarter of 2028, with international operators accounting for nearly two-thirds of the increase. Roughly 60 percent of production is expected to come from the Orinoco Belt. Venezuela has identified a need for 93 active drilling rigs by 2028. However, the revival faces a critical services bottleneck, with sustained growth constrained by operational challenges including rig availability, diluent supplies, and infrastructure upgrades despite recent regulatory changes.

Iran Conflict

The IRGC stated that no oil or gas would be exported from the region while U.S. forces remain, and they asserted control over the entire Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM conducted strikes on Bushehr, Bandar Abbas, and Bandar Kangan, while Iran targeted U.S. facilities at Bahrain’s Juffair base and Kuwait’s Ali Al Salem base. Multiple tanker attacks were reported, including strikes on the Stolt Magnesium and UAE tankers Al Bahyah and Mombasa B, killing one Indian sailor. Hormuz traffic fell to six ships on one day.

Iran struck a fighter jet maintenance facility at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar. U.S. forces struck a bottled mineral water production factory in Dehloran, following prior strikes on the Mahshahr pumping station and the Kish Island water and electricity site. Reports indicate that Trump used a Situation Room meeting to plan strikes on Iranian power plants, bridges, and strategic infrastructure. Trump stated that conditions would worsen the following week.

Geopolitics

President Trump is expected to support a bipartisan sanctions package that would impose automatic sanctions on Russian shipping, energy, uranium, and sovereign debt within 30 days and authorize tariffs on countries purchasing Russian oil, gas, or uranium. Senate Majority Leader John Thune described the passage as a tribute to the late Sen. Lindsey Graham. This would be considered America’s toughest sanctions package yet, and some analysts have questioned the interventionist approach associated with such measures.

In other news, a recent article by South Front discusses the current state of space dominance. As of late June, Starlink operated more than 10,700 satellites, representing roughly two-thirds of all satellites in orbit. The FCC has approved 15,000 satellites for the constellation. Amazon’s Kuiper constellation had 331 satellites. Russia’s Bureau 1440 launched 16 Rassvet satellites on March 23, bringing its total to 21. A jamming signal active since 2019 and affecting only NATO states on weekdays has been traced to a Russian early-warning satellite. China’s GuoWang constellation exceeded 177 satellites, and its Qianfan constellation reached 238 satellites by July 5. The EU’s IRIS² program, approved in December 2024 for 290 satellites, has experienced delays.

Health

Australian broadcaster 7 News reported increases in cancer diagnoses among young Australians, including ovarian cancer up 30 percent, breast cancer up 50 percent, and bowel cancer up 71 percent. Commentator Jimmy Dore cited more than 100 studies identifying 17 mechanisms by which mRNA vaccines may promote cancer. However, official data indicate some early-onset cancer trends predate 2021.

Additionally, a study published in Sage Open Medicine analyzed 1,352 pregnancies in two Iranian cities from 2022-2023 and reported six cases of atrioventricular septal defects and two cases of cleft palate among women vaccinated against COVID-19 before 12 weeks of gestation, compared with zero cases in unvaccinated comparison groups. None of the participants received mRNA vaccines. Iran uses inactivated-virus or viral-vector vaccines containing 0.25-0.50 mg of aluminum adjuvant. Children’s Health Defense researcher Karl Jablonowski stated that aluminum-adjuvanted vaccines are typically avoided during the first trimester in other countries. The study authors described the findings as exploratory, stated that causation cannot be established, and called for further surveillance. The WHO recommended Sinopharm for pregnant women while noting that data were insufficient to assess pregnancy-associated risks.

Artificial Intelligence

A VTS report stated that national AI office demand rose 85 percent in the twelve months through May, with a 179 percent increase in major hubs. San Francisco, Silicon Valley, and New York accounted for 63 percent of AI leasing. San Francisco recorded 5 million square feet leased. The average AI lease size in San Francisco was 62,000 square feet. Seattle recorded a 390 percent year-over-year increase. This begs a question regarding what happens to commercial real estate if the AI bubble bursts.

Meanwhile, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul signed an executive order pausing environmental permits for hyperscale data centers for up to one year and requiring data centers to produce their own energy or pay grid premiums. Construction and labor groups stated the policy would shift projects to other states. Sen. John Fetterman said the policy would benefit China. Environmental groups and some state lawmakers have welcomed the pause to allow time to develop safeguards.

Sources

Iranian Study Ties Early COVID Shots With Aluminum to Higher Birth Defect Rates

“It can generate hypotheses, and with this study, we’ve been handed a really good argument to start generating hypotheses,” particularly about vaccines that contain aluminum adjuvants.

Source

mRNA Shots Tied to Cancer Spike as Aussie Youth Rates Explode

Over 100 studies have identified 17 distinct mechanisms by which mRNA shots promote cancer.

Source

Orbital Chessboard: One King Rules The Sky, But The Board Is Filling Up

The sky no longer answers to one master – but that is exactly what makes the game so dangerous.

Source | Submitted by travissidelinger

EU Russian LNG Imports Hit Record Highs Ahead of 2027 Ban

marking a 16% increase compared to the same period in 2025 as they front-loaded Russian energy supplies ahead of impending phase-out bans.

Source

Venezuela Oil Revival Stymied by Services Bottleneck, Not Geology

That execution gap, not geology, is likely to define Venezuela’s production trajectory over the remainder of the decade.

Source

AI Firms Gobble Record Office Space, Reviving San Francisco Market

Unprecedented office demand from AI companies in San Francisco is powering the city’s office market to a modest recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Source

Trump Backs Graham’s Russia Sanctions: Neocon Legacy Fuels Proxy War Risks

Yet such a passage is only going to more deeply embed the United States in a lose-lose proxy war with Moscow which could soon spiral dangerously into a WW3-style nuclear armed confrontation.

Source

IRGC Vows to Choke Gulf Oil Exports as Hormuz Tanker Attacks Escalate

As long as the US evil stays in the region, not a drop of oil and gas will be exported from the region.

Source

US Hits Iranian Bottled Water Plant in Third Strike on Water Infrastructure

This is the third US strike on Iranian water infrastructure in recent days

Source

Ukraine Strikes Russia’s Last Refinery, Fuel Crisis Turns Catastrophic

This was the last major undamaged gasoline producer left on the Russian map in 2026.

Source

Iran Strikes US Base in Qatar, Exposing Regional Reach

you can bomb Iran as hard as you want, but your bases across the region are still within our reach.

Source

Iran Threatens Gulf Pipelines if US Blockade Persists

Either everyone exports, or no one does.

Source

Trump Plots Wider Iran Strikes to Crush Regime Resistance

Trump warned that next week “it gets really bad”, targeting power plants, bridges, and other strategic infrastructure unless Iran comes to the table.

Source

NY’s Data Center Ban: Hochul Hands Jobs to China

China wins.

Source

In addition to sources submitted by community members, the following were also used in the creation of this report: Grok, AIHW, Reason, Venezuelanalysis, and WIRED.

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Here is Canadian Prepper’s favorite nuclear war movie-- it begins when the US invades Iran.

“THREADS” 1984

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Cryptosporia is a nasty little parasite spread on produce that is not washed well enough. Currently an epidemic in many states.
Causes “explosive diarrhea” (which is really fun).

Treatments and prevention.

Peal off the outer couple of leaves of lettuce head.
Wash the rest well.

If you get it take Bactrim antibiotic.

Tumeric???

https://x.com/NicHulscher/status/2077392305971990807?s=20

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The more-than-trilllion-dollar “war” bill was blocked in the Senate. The “merger” with Israel was (allegedly) part of the reason.

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It’ll be back, I’m sure…

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I had it. Not fun, but not terrible either. Took about 10 days to get rid of it completely.

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How could Congress even consider that merger.

Just how low can they sink?

Of course, then again, after Covid, I know there are no limits as to how depraved our rulers can be.

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How did you get rid of it completely? (And how do you know that it is, in fact, gone?)

My daughter believes she had this parasite recently. She’s fine now, but I’m wondering about whether or not the parasite is truly gone.

I assumed that it was something I ate. So I threw out all the fruits and vegetables that I had. Other than that, I really did nothing. The human immune system can fight parasites. I let it do that.

After about 10 days to two weeks, I had no symptoms at all.

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I wonder how much and how permanent the drone and missile damage to refineries really is. I note Chris’s discussion about 3-5 year repair targets for the Qatari LNG trains, but also recall that the Axis refineries were carpet bombed relentlessly during WW2, but often restored at least some capacity within days. The Ploesti raids come to mind.

Why do you say that? Are you anti-semitic or something? Why not let the Israelites of 18 million (9 in their own country, others strategically placed elsewhere) control our country of 340 million?

I mean it’s not like they think they are superior to everyone else and want to exact revenge for over a 190 times people treated them unfairly, completely without any negative input of their own into those societies, in the last 4000 years or so.

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Depends on what was struck.

Tanks or piping, relatively quick to fix. Compressors, distillation columns, generators, turbines, long time to fix. For the second group expect about 48-60 months to get new machinery built, unless building these can be accelerated in country.

The Soviet Union had a national defense strategy bordering on paranoia, but for a good reason. They made every large industrial complex have the capability to manufacture their own electrical motors, cast pump housings, and impellers, transformers, and make other large equipment in case of war. Decentralize the manufacturing. Yes, at the loss of quality and durability, but it gave them resilience and cut down on downtime for logistics in case of war.

During the unipower era, where the US was the only world power, we working as Engineering consultants over there made fun of the concept, because the quality issues were abound, downtime rose, and the equipment lasted a lot less than if manufactured in a proper facility that only worked on creating this equipment.

But in a situation as Russia lived through in WW2, and as has now been started, that strategy makes perfect sense and is the strategy to keep going, being resilient, and surviving. I am sure they will go back to that way.

They know it, and it makes sense from this perspective.

Not buy expensive Siemens Compressors, Goldman pumps, European or American electric motors, but make their own on site.

Yes, won’t last 10-40 years when made by Igor, but will be quick to manufacture, cheap and local, and will last 5-20 years. Same with transformers.

It was less than 10 years ago this old Soviet practice was still being kept up in many ex-Soviet countries like Russia and Kazakhstan. Stalin instituted it, it didn’t make sense from 1991- ca. 2024, but makes sense again.

I’ve been in Paper Mills and Steel Mills in Russia that still did this less than 10 years ago, and mines in Kazakhstan where the same was also happening about 10 years ago.

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Much obliged thankyou, and I would think the targetting precision has gone way up since WW2.

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I suspect this is going to become another FAFO moment for Trump, and by extension, the global economy. This is a red line that should never be crossed. Complete and utter idiotic degeneracy.

https://x.com/georgegalloway/status/2077521062753964442?s=20
https://x.com/DD_Geopolitics/status/2077494168440504521?s=20
https://x.com/s_m_marandi/status/2077493945983025605?s=20

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For sure, the precision would go up. but the principle of making a facility able to make their own equipment on site would still hold. Moving it between warehouses. Precision doesn’t matter when you can shift operations quickly and the enemy doesn’t know the new coordinates. Precision depends on knowing the precise point to strike.

It doesn’t take that much to move a foundry and a workshop around locally quickly.

I have done some of that. You can do miracles in 2-3 weeks with enough planning, capable organizers, and workforce to carry out the work.

And those warehouses don’t need to be very big. 5,000sq.ft (500sq.m) is plenty if you have a few of them scattered around.

And it would not be recorded anywhere in NATO systems either, because it could happen quickly and without much fanfare. So yes, you could hit the operating equipment, but the non-descript warehouse 25-30km’s away could be ready to make new equipment on the spot.

Unless the enemy drops bombs on everything above 5,000sq.ft/500sq.m in a non logistically reasonable range, you could establish a recovery production site.

And if I was running the war, I’d probably build 3 of those backup sites at a time. The Russians like to build 3-5 backups, from my interaction with them. So I am sure they are ahead of me.

They are slow to roll and patient.

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Just two days ago I saw a post by a young man I know who had his 38th birthday. At first I thought his post was one of those social media posts where people post something about a disease and then ask folks to acknowledge it by reposting it. It was that he had stage 4 colon cancer. He’s passed out at work and they took him to the ER and had to give him a blood transfusion - 2 pints, and discovered he was severely anemic and was doing radiation treatment, etc for it. Oncologist gave him hope so he’s fighting hard. I don’t know for a fact that he took the vax, but I would bet money he took them all given how easily he’s been duped by things over the years and given who he works for. So this report on increased cancer. . . I believe it.

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This is nice WMD.