Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/us-japan-yen-intervention-stirs-carry-trade-fears-is-the-fourth-turning-entering-its-terminal-phase/
Economy
The U.S. and Japan conducted coordinated intervention to reverse months of yen losses, with the New York Fed selling euros to buy yen and lifting the currency to around 157.40 per dollar after it had approached 40-year lows. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the yen as very undervalued and excess volatility as unhealthy, while a Coin Bureau analysis warned that a rapid yen rally risks unwinding one of the worldās largest carry trades. Investors who borrowed cheap yen to fund purchases of stocks, crypto, and other higher-yielding assets could be forced to sell, potentially triggering a broader global market selloff if the move proves disorderly rather than gradual.
Geopolitics
Milian Adams of the Prepgroup blog opines that the Fourth Turning Global War has entered its terminal phase, with fiscal 2026 deficits of $2.3 trillion, daily war costs of $1 billion, $113 billion in direct expenses already incurred, the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at 305 million barrels, Patriot interceptors at $2 million per shot, national debt rising from $36.2 trillion to $39.5 trillion in eighteen months, and the 10-year Treasury yield at 4.64%. He projects that by Q4 2026, the reserve will hit technical minimums, triggering energy-price spikes, cascading defaults in transport and logistics, and food-distribution failures in major cities, while the 2026 midterms unfold amid 6-7% inflation and visible military setbacks. By mid-2027, Adams warns, the global food system faces structural breakdown and mass migration as the dollarās reserve status erodes into severe stagflation.
Energy
U.S. commercial crude inventories fell 7.2 million barrels last week, and the Strategic Petroleum Reserve dropped 3.8 million barrels to 307.7 million. Refineries operated at 97% capacity.
Meanwhile, the Department of Energy selected Utah, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Louisiana, and Idaho for potential Nuclear Lifecycle Innovation Campuses. Each site could attract up to $50 billion in investment. Texas and New Mexico were not chosen.
Iran War
President Trump posted on Truth Social that a planned strike on Iran was postponed after indications that terms for reopening the Strait of Hormuz had been reached. Meanwhile, Gen. Alexus Grynkewich notified the Pentagon that available Navy destroyers are insufficient to continue shielding Israel.
US Politics
A Department of Energy letter obtained by Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) states that Bill Gates held Q-level clearance from the Department of Energy between 2014 and 2021. Reportedly, this level of clearance is typically only given to people involved with nuclear weapon design. Paul entered the letter into the Congressional record during a Senate hearing and linked the clearance to gain-of-function research funding.
A Gallup poll reports public confidence in higher education at 38%. Jonathan Turley has stated that political indoctrination, cited by roughly one-third of respondents, is the leading reason for distrust. Turley notes that 9% of professors at the top 50 law schools identify as conservative. Some observers attribute the trust decline primarily to economic factors such as student debt and poor return on investment rather than bias.
Health
Three Canadian physicians published a paper in the New England Journal of Medicine proposing that euthanasia patients could be killed by organ removal. The authors argue that the dead donor ruleās sequencing is no longer morally required. Critics, including Conservative MP Leslyn Lewis and bioethicist Kerry Bowman, have warned of ethical risks. Euthanasia expansion to the mentally ill is scheduled for 2027 under Bill C-7.
Sources
Obama Gave Gates Q Clearance, Paul Ties It to Fauci
The billionaire Microsoft co-founder was given āQ security clearanceā from 2014 to 2021, starting during the presidency of Barack Obama and completely overlapping with Dr. Anthony Fauciās tenure as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, according to the letter from the DOE.
Canadian Docs Push āDeath by Organ Donationā to Harvest Euthanasia Patients
Three doctors published a paper in a top medical journal pushing for ādeath by organ donation,ā where people undergoing euthanasia would be killed by having their organs removed.
Higher Edās Trust Collapse: Bias, Echo Chambers, and Self-Inflicted Demise
We are watching the demise of American higher education by its own hand.
Nuclear Hypocrisy: Texas, New Mexico Snubbed for Wanting Reactors Without Waste
Texas and New Mexico may enjoy calling themselves pro-nuclear when reactors, research grants, and factory announcements are on the table. But supporting nuclear energy also requires dealing responsibly with what comes out of the reactor.
The Fourth Turning Warās Terminal Phase: Metrics of Strategic Bankruptcy
The Fourth Turning Global War has entered its terminal phase, and the metrics suggest we are only beginning to comprehend the depth of the strategic trap into which American policy has walked.
Source | Submitted by PhilH
US Oil Stockpiles Hit Precarious Lows as SPR Drains Mount
It has carried the burden of trying to keep oil prices in check over this period via SPR releases and higher exports, but stockpiles are rapidly depleting and this pace of draws cannot persist ad infinitum.
Trump Pauses Iran Strike as Deal āPerimetersā Emerge
President Trump said he had postponed his planned attack on Iran after the āperimetersā of a new peace deal were agreed.
US-Japan Yen Intervention Sends Currency Surging
The US joined Japan in engineering a rebound in the yen, with the currency quoted at 157.40 to the dollar, the strongest since early May.
Source (Paywalled) | Submitted by Chris Martenson
US-Japan Yen Intervention Looms: Markets Face Disorderly Shock
A disorderly surge could trigger a global selloff.
US General Warns: No Destroyers Left to Shield Israel, Homeland First
He no longer has enough Navy destroyers to keep protecting Israel from Iranian ballistic missile attacks, and will be forced to prioritize the United States homeland over Israel.
In addition to sources submitted by community members, the following were also used in the creation of this report: @Anvayance, @fivegeedubya, ArmstrongEcon, and @grok.
