very true, but what do you think about using the JCB hydraulic lift as reference point vs the railing?
independent from where the bullet was fired,
- it first grazed Trump’s ear. I expect there will be no significant deviation of the bullet’s trajectory after this event
- then there are a couple of possibilities:
2.1. the bullet grazed the upper part of the horizontal part of the railing. this will reduce the vertical drop of the bullet slightly, but the horizontal drift will be minimal
2.2. the bullet penetrated the horizontal part of the railing. we do not have any evidence of this
2.3. the bullet disintegrated and part of it continued in various directions and part of it injured David Dutch - we also know that the hydraulics of the JCB beam started leaking after the first bullet hit Trump and encountered the railing, so here we have two options too:
3.1. a part of the disintegrated bullet of 2.3 ended up in the hydraulic beam and had sufficient energy to puncture the hydraulic line
3.2. after the bullet grazed the railing, it did not lose too much energy and was sufficiently potent to damage the hydraulic line
about hydraulics lines: these are extremely strong due to the simple fact that they need to support serious weights and they can push and keep oil under very high pressure.
i.e., pipes that are used for hydraulics are not easily damaged because they are super strong…
so, the bullet or parts of the bullet that struck the hydraulic line still had enough punch to puncture this line, and this is why I do not believe it was a simple round from an AR-15, let alone a 2013 DPMS A-15 that was fired at 200 yards…
and this is why I believe that the impact on the JCB hydraulic system is a much more reliable reference point for the 1st bullet than the railing…
if you look at the following picture taken from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O696aD_ssIk at 8:49, you see 5 victims in 1 picture (in order):
- Trump’s ear
- David Dutch
- the railing of the bleacher
- the JCB hydraulic lift
- James Copenhaver
so, the bullet was on its way to the hydraulic pipe of the JCB lift:
- first, the bullet grazed Trump’s ear
- then it straight between the bellies of the man in the dark t-shirt and the red cap and David Dutch (man with the American flag shirt)
- the bullet touched the railing, and
- the bullet ended up in the hydraulics system of the JCB lift…
the possibilities about David Dutch are:
- he got injured by some ricochet coming off the railing of bullet 1
- he got inured by parts of bullet 1 that disintegrated somehow, but still had enough punch to pierce the very strong hydraulics system of the JCB lift
- he got hit by the 2nd or 3rd bullet
all in all, it still looks to me that the hydraulic line of the JCB lift is a much better and much more reliable reference point than “somewhere” on the bleachers…
the yellow arrow represents the incoming first bullet: