Did he use purely economical data to predict 2014? Coz that is very interesting, albeit disappointing how simple we humans are.
1987 is quite simple but does he take into consideration policy changes government makes. Or geopolitical things… Or maybe there is no need with little delay(maybe only hours) these can be seen in raw data.
I can’t say. There are times I think Armstrong is full of it and times I think the guy is legit. The thing is he called all of this stuff way in advance. He even called the problems the EU and specifically Germany is having years ago.
I cant but think it is super easy to predict something as secret CIA mouthpiece if they already know the script. That is why im sus with Ukraine case, there was long big script. Michael Saylor also has some sus aspects but I cant put my finger on him.
“the blob” can murder someone in broad daylight afterall.
From banning nuclear… well I think Chris also saw those problems decade ago coming.
1987 is interesting as at least not to my knowledge there was anything to predict it other than market data. No dumb FED policies or things like that. I dont count ignoring problems deliberate policy.
Read one user article in seekingalpha and that suggests since 70s lots of these economic crisis are “deliberate”, ie expected things to happen but not taken seriously. Part of kicking can down the road as long as possible.
I don’t need an AI computer to predict a stock market crash, the warning bells have been going off for almost two decades. The wild card here, which I wonder if AI could predict, is the Fed… never fight the Fed.
Interesting side note, personal friend was involved with IBM supercomputers that were being sold to banks in the 90’s. He told me one day in the 90’s, the economy was going to implode around 2012. When financial SHTF in '08, I asked him, is it earlier than predicted or worse than expected. His answer that no amount of prodding could get him to expand on, was “yes”.
Can they do 180 turns suddenly and that changes game again? As that is difficult to predict with any magic AI machine.
(Im referring to turkey who was mocked for some years doing counter to economic schoolbooks moves for years now… with somewhat predictable results… those can be good or bad depending on viewpoint… if excess defense spending makes them stronger in geopolitics, that can be much better than good economy when SHTF)
There is a conspiracy theory raised here in PP that dems intentionally threw Joe and Kamala under the bus because they know the economy will collapse, and it will all be blamed on Trump.
I can easily counter that: could Trump have won if dems had somewhat more moderate spending, to delay inflation problems to 2028 and avoided dumbest woke failures… likely yes, they could have still won in that case, but they went double down 2024 on all these.
In corporate cases there is common thing that yes, execs can ignore reality for some while with shortterm benefits but then budweiser moment can hit… but that was all their doing as they ignored all feedback from below levels and thus people stopped reporting.
One thing he predicted in 2017 on Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog channel was that the DOW would hit 35,000 to 40,000 when many thought it had already peaked and was going to drop. It even raised the Hunter’s eyebrows, cause he was skeptical of that claim. Davefairtax seems to be a fan of Martin Armstrong.
Ok, I’ll vote too. Armstrong himself is the big brain with a computer to assist and crunch numbers.
Clearly the best of 2024. It’s worth the watch 2x over.
Very enjoyable. If you have a long drive, this is the one to listen to.
I clapped, I laughed… I felt re-assured as a human being that it wasn’t just me, and that other intellectuals were talking.
FWIW, I scored a 37. A young engineer scored 22, but he’s young. He works at SpaceX, but he is willing to entertain that we might not have landed on the moon with Apollo 11.
I was pleased to see Dave scored ~40 as did Chris. Means I am in the right ballpark.
BTW, so glad that @cmartenson is in contact with ALL of my heroes (RFKj, Ivor, Dr. Campbell, FLCCC, Brett W, Collum, Dr. Berry).
I hope you contact Dr. Mercola, Dr. Shawn Baker (Carnivore), and I would love to have you debate Dr. Judy Mikovits and the gal who doesn’t believe viruses exist.
Kirk Out!
This 
. It made me feel, at least for a couple of hours, that the adults were back in charge.
Neither of them are on “our side”. Using extreme discernment is critical. Ramaswamy is a very slick talker, and he clearly didn’t get where he is now being a “goodie”.
With Elon… personally, I wouldn’t doubt if EL-ON was the offspring of the Nephilim. I think he’s a very dangerous individual and not nearly as predictable as people would like to believe. It’s also scary to think about his sense of self-empowerment after the November selection, but I do believe that people who haven’t paid close enough attention to his past and what he’s said and done are going to be in for a surprise when his true colors start shine.
I have a nuanced take on H1b Visas. I have used them in the past.
In all honesty, it’s a LEGAL process, it’s not cheap, and when I’ve used it, it brought people here 20yrs ago who are now millionaires in tech. Through their own hard work.
In reality, we have a shortage of GOOD tech programmers with experience. Yeah, we can hire kids out of college, only to find out they need 1-2 years of hand holding unless they are the top 5% of their school.
But it’s the $15/hr minimum wage problem for techies. We need younger and hard-working kids from college. And for many companies, they cannot afford to manage a new developer AND hire the developer at a six figure salary. Many people mistake the H1Bs with replacing that person for less. Sorry, it’s not that simple. In many cases we get ACTUAL Experience for less!
OTOH, you have Disney replacing entire departments with Visas… But you have to ask yourself. Were those people REALLY delivering? Disney is famous for underpaying. they probably had a lot of what they deserved.
Bringing Talented people from elsewhere MAKES SENSE. Compared to the open border… Doubly so. But these visas should be 10% of our market.
And if you don’t do it. That’s fine by me. You know what my job is? Finding those resources out of country, and getting them deeply integrated into your teams, at 70% of the cost of an American Developer.
But not every company can get away with that. I am a tiny operator.
The competition is already out there. our universities need to do better.
We had 3 Americans interview out of 10 applicants. 7 were F visas. We made offers to 1 American and 1 Foreign National. They both accepted.
The other 2 Americans rated a B- (missing skills), and an F. Outright Clueless, despite an almost perfect GPA and excelling Schmoozing skills.
There was one foreigner who rated below the F candidate due to a combination of cluelessness and extreme confidence/self-worth.
I say bring them over, but limit them. MAYBE increase the cost $10K/yr…
Do you mean “worker tariffs”? Honestly, that is needed in west so they dont get those F- tier people to undercut wages in walmart and other places. US throughout decades has mostly done H1B route, no illegals, only highly skilled people, who work hard and bring something unique to table. Now it is as Trump said, shoveling bottom people via illegal route.
If they have “tariff” of 10k, that makes companies value workers more. Also, lot of companies have bottom of barrel hiring process, yours sounds sensible and thoughtout.
Does anyone have the link for the CCTS test?
Scroll down a bit in the introduction section.
I had a very solid ending and finished with 40.
If our leaders are reptiles then I’m just going to give up and do drugs for the rest of my life.
Thank you for seeing that. I don’t do flame wars or ad hominem attacks. I dropped out of social media b/c of that stuff. (I’ve said some horrible things, so I disengaged).
Anyways, I wake up today to find that Elon MOVED his position to basically what I wrote. Make them more expensive, and add an annual fee to them. I am ALL FOR THAT.
Also, I am for the OPEN DISCUSSION.
Honestly I feel Elon and Donald had a talk… And they made a BETTER proposal as a result.
It’s another 2024 miracle. I just need:
“Green Aliens land on WH lawn, and Sniff Biden Inappropriately” to get a 5 way BINGO on my 2024 “It couldn’t possibly happen” Bingo Card! LOL
World got 4 plane crashes in this Christmas week. I didnt have that on bingo card. Do those NJ lightshow drones count as UFOs? If so, might be Jan6 melee or some event related to that weird things happen in DC.
I see economic bomb has been setup, they might bring it to explode at exact right time to cause chaos like covid did so someone could use that opportunity. It might be some sort of coup like South Korea and couple other places had in just last couple months.
If that story of “UFOs good guys”, they come to prevent WW3, then January seems good time to come back.
Of Elon Musk… he seems like Trump was 2016 to 2021, doesnt know when some thoughts must be refined and discussed and who knows might even execute them as he loves H1B and chinese people(some old news piece he said chinese are much better workers) as that allows bypassing any regulations, essentially he can be king to make them work 247. That’s vibe I got. So Trump’s team, at least some people there, put some ground under his feet is good for everyone. I dont like idea of glorified billionaire (trillionaire) with ADHD working too hard doing impulsive things in scale that ownership and media presence leverages in society (BTW media attention given same dumb way free as 2016 Trump had , helping whatever they decide to do).
At points I got Putin vibes of Trump back in the day but these days it is different, more based, balanced.
That imagery of someone sniffing Biden for a change would be nice relief.
Adding some comments on Chris’ post.
If these happen, I rather they do nanosecond speed via HFR trading magic and jump next day back up. Thus even -90% can momentarily happen but back halfway by next day, and normal people wont notice 1929 real economy effect.
If people have funds in indexes, they should quickly recoup by index algorithm. If they are doing freeform, risk is part of that game.
Interesting video, @mysterymet ; thanks for posting.