Good discussion. Back in the 80's I worked in the Sex Offender unit of a prison psyche facility. I remember rigidly holding myself back, as I listened to a young man manner of factly describe sodomizing an infant, then start piteously weeping as he described his own arrest. I wanted to leap across the table and rip his throat out, but didn't. So Granny, Tall, Tree, "I feel you…".
I was also training in an intense, but unorthodox style of psychotherapy, and remember how a close-knit, like minded group was vitally supportive, but could also become quite the echo chamber.
I think this support/distortion tradeoff is true for any painful topic, Sexual Abuse, DeGrowth, Addiction, Global Climate Change, The Aliens, Money/Currency, Peak Everything. So I applaud the general tone here at PP, and urge us all to politely challenge each other with reality, because , well, It's just …hard to know this stuff.
I really appreciate CM's opening comments to PP, "as the data change, so will my mind ", or words to that effect. A tip of the hat to Mark Cochrane and his Climate Change thread. That's the way to do it. Polite, tough, detailed, data, data.
A lot of smart people on PP, and I particularly appreciate a previous exchange with CM about a military issue. CM was probably correct on the macro (smarter weapons render expensive massive older weapons obsolete), but wrong on the micro, the specific mechanics. This is the kind of reality testing needed. No one can be sharp on everything.
Similarly, a comment by Archdruid about medicine being distorted by money. Amen to that! Any doctor or nurse would say "well, Duh!!" Absolutely correct on the macro. His reasoning? Avoiding alternative/complementary treatment of a severe asthmatic? Wrong on the micro. More likely prudent risk aversion. And I love Archdruid's stuff, BTW. No one can be sharp on everything.
For that reason, I would love some interviews with people with world views slightly off from PP concensus. Amory Lovins and Catherine Austin Fitts come to mind.
Finally, what do I make of the CDC "1 in 5"? I think they do a great disservice to a field that requires more clarity, not less. IMHO, they "mined" the credibility of the CDC in service of their cause. By making a claim that any rational person, and even folks "in the choir" can discount, they make it easier for everyone else to avoid thinking about this particular painful reality.
I believe, the more important and painful the topic, the more careful and honest should you make your alarming announcement. If you don't really know, the best thing to say is "we don't really know, but are really worried". Then when you do know something, maybe people will trust what you say.
And thank you for politely challenging any of the above.