darbikrash -
But kibitzing about how money earmarked for reserves is invested, in my view, does nothing to indicate whether or not this is an insurance policy or a welfare program. All insurance companies invest pooled money, in fact, the dominant revenue stream in the insurance business model is interest income, interest from the policy holder's payments. We may reasonably disagree as to how this money is invested, but this schema is hard wired into the insurance business.
I hate to argue-by-assertion, but I will anyway. Ha!
If there's no pot of money that accumulates a surplus to pay beneficiaries, it's not insurance. Social Security has no pot of money for the accumulated surplus. Therefore, it's not an insurance plan, its a welfare program.
If you are particularly charitable, you might consider the slips of paper in the Social Security Trust Fund to be a pot of money. RIght up until you try and actually pay beneficiaries with those slips of paper. Good luck selling those non-redeemable bonds. They are, after all, non-redeemable. They are simply markers to show social security taxes that was spent by the government on something else; when it comes time to pay beneficiaries, either the money to pay them must come from taxes paid during that same year, or new treasury bonds will have to be created and sold in order to fund the payments. How does that differ from a welfare program, which also must fund payment to lucky recipients by selling new treasury bonds or from taxes paid?
Answer: it doesn't. They are functionally equivalent. If those slips of paper didn't exist, nothing about the budgeting of the government would change. So I must conclude those slips of paper mean nothing.
If they were corporate bonds, or equities, or the like, then those would be real assets that could be sold to finance retirees. But it's not, so it isn't.
In essense, I'm making the claim that to be considered a legitimate asset for a pot of money, it must be
someone else's liability. Why isn't a US government liability a legitimate asset?
A simple thought experiment will illustrate why. During my working years, I make $100k per year. I spend ALL of it. In addition, each year, I write on a slip of paper Pay to the Order Of Dave Fairtex, $10k - signed, Dave Fairtex, and I put it in my pocket. At the end of 30 years of work, I have slips of paper totalling $300k. When I retire, I take those slips out of my pocket and think, "wow, now I've got $300k to spend. Now I just need to get this guy Dave Fairtex to cough up that money and I'm golden!" That's the Social Security Trust Fund.
Even more bizarrely, the US government wants to have it both ways. It doesn't want to include the SS Trust Fund liabilities in calculations on how large the debt is, but at the same time it wants to pretend that the trust fund exists, perpetuating the myth that the pot of money exists. Here's the entry for the CIA World Fact Book on the US on "Public Debt" to illustrate:
Public debt:
73.6% of GDP (2012 est.)
country comparison to the world:
35
67.8% of GDP (2011 est.)
note: data cover only what the United States Treasury denotes as "Debt Held by the Public," which includes all debt instruments issued by the Treasury that are owned by non-US Government entities; the data include Treasury debt held by foreign entities; the data exclude debt issued by individual US states, as well as intra-governmental debt; intra-governmental debt consists of Treasury borrowings from surpluses in the trusts for Federal Social Security, Federal Employees, Hospital Insurance (Medicare and Medicaid), Disability and Unemployment, and several other smaller trusts; if data for intra-government debt were added, "Gross Debt" would increase by about one-third of GDP
So...no pot of money containing the paid-in surplus for beneficiaries means, social security is a welfare program.