Simon Dixon: The Government Isn't Out of Control, It's *Not* in Control

Off the Cuff Public Off the Cuff
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Originally published at: https://peakprosperity.com/otc-with-simon-dixon-the-government-isnt-out-of-control-its-not-in-control/

What the heck is going on? There’s a lot of confusion about world events and what’s truly driving them.

Once again, I sat down with Simon Dixon to gather his thoughts on the driving factors shaping the world today.

Simon believes that the Iran conflict is largely theatrical. He sees all of the military confrontations as “bounded escalations” where neither side really pushes too far beyond levels that might trigger WW III.

Out of all this drama, a new Middle East order is emerging. One that will see China rise in power along with Iran, while the U.S.’s power will wane dramatically, if not mostly disappear from the region.

Sitting under all the noise and drama is the fact that the petrodollar is being systematically dismantled. Such a thing cannot happen all at once, but rather must take place slowly over time. Other forms of payment and even direct yuan exchanges for oil are now becoming more and more commonplace.

Simon argues multinational corporations and financial institutions now wield greater influence than elected governments, with U.S. policy increasingly serving transnational capital. America is no longer truly governed by elected officials, but instead by corporate power.

We also discussed:

  • Europe is paying the highest price..
  • Taiwan is unlikely to become the next major war.
  • Artificial intelligence is replacing manufacturing as America’s growth engine.
  • The debt-based financial system is under increasing strain.
  • Stablecoins and CBDCs are viewed as the next phase of financial control.
  • The economy is becoming increasingly unequal.
  • Universal Basic Income may become politically necessary.
  • Markets are no longer functioning as true price-discovery mechanisms.
  • Political leaders are symptoms, not causes.
  • Narrative management has become a powerful tool.
  • The central battle is decentralization versus centralization.

My main conclusions remain unchanged. Given the uncertainty surrounding debt, AI, geopolitics, and monetary policy, I continue to emphasize resilience: owning real assets, maintaining personal freedom, and reducing dependence on centralized systems.

On these matters, Simon Dixon and I are in complete alignment.

It’s a long interview(~2 hours), so download it or settle in on a long drive, or during a proper July garden weeding session.

Timestamps

00:00 The New World Order and Global Dynamics
17:40 Geopolitical Tensions and Energy Control
29:01 The Future of Currency and Economic Systems
43:25 The Debt Dilemma and Economic Growth
46:54 Military Spending and Global Power Dynamics
49:58 Regional Stability and the Role of Israel
56:50 Centralization vs. Decentralization in Governance
01:10:01 Generational Divide and Economic Realities
01:12:40 The Illusion of Leadership and Systemic Frustration
01:15:00 Mind Control and Narrative Manipulation
01:25:42 The Geopolitical Landscape and Its Implications
01:30:40 Energy Crisis and Economic Control
01:37:20 The Nature of Power and Compromise
01:40:25 Finding Personal Grounding Amidst Chaos
01:48:29 Spirituality and Humanity in a Changing World
01:55:58 The Corruption of Money and Its Consequences

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“We can all feel it and see the effects; there’s a powerful machine running behind the scenes. Being able to see it clearly is the first step toward reclaiming your own agency and power (and possibly life).”

We’ve already been Menticided, right?
We’ve been mentally Gaza-ed?

“Menticide refers to the systematic and intentional destruction of an individual’s conscious mind, personality, or mental independence. Coined in the early 1950s by Dutch-American psychiatrist Joost A.M. Meerloo, the term literally translates to the “murder of the mind” and is synonymous with brainwashing or coercive indoctrination.”

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Because of the advanced productive forces, we could be as culturally sublime and august and the ancient Athenians, but, because of the ubiquitous decades long Brainwashing and Menticide, we instead live in a state of lobotomized mental degradation….

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Speaking of the “New Financial Order”, the “Boomer” in “Baby Boomer” refers to “Crack Up, Boom”, right?

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Greetings from S. America! Just encountered an interesting article: “Why Digital ID is the Hill to Die On”. And it seems to fit right in on this new thread, so …
The Authenitication Layer

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My “I went out today” report (because everyone here should be interested lol):

I am very fond of my doctor’s receptionist, she is a very sweet woman and I’ve known her for several years. I was waiting for an opportunity to get her up to speed, but it didn’t look like it was going to comfortably work in, then the last thing she said to me was “is there anything else I can do for you?”

I just blurted out “stock up.” I asked her if she knew why and she said No. I explained the situation with the Strait and she had no idea what I was talking about and said she does not watch the news. So I explained as best as I could very briefly and she gave me a sincere “thank you.”

Plant one seed at a time. They are like baby birds and can only handle little drops of water.

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Does anyone believe anything anymore coming from government officials? The incoming Chairman of the FED literally stated that he has launched a committee to investigate why the “FED models” allowed inflation to gain traction. No, the leadership had been exemplary, it was the models. His committee would fix them. He literally told Congress with him in charge the debt markets would be unicorns and rainbows. Therefore the implication that Congressional spending would be facilitated without creating inflation.
How does one simply ignore total financial debt resting like an upside down pyramid on a meager GDP plus all the un-payable promises like Medicare and not explain that all those promises are NONPRODUCTIVE spending. They are just pieces of government issued chits that place demands on enterprise production and produce not a single product for society. Sure, all those mandatory payments will be paid by Ai.

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I keep thinking “we are only as strong as our weakest link.” How will we stand up to the WEF agenda if so many of us are helpless? We need to turn this thing into a movement. “Resilience Now.” Something like that.

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Menticided - The Great Paul Craig Roberts

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Thanks for that great interview, Chris! I stayed up too late listening to it (no regrets) at 1.75 speed, and I look forward to listening again tomorrow. I loved how you and Simon went off-piste towards the end. I could listen to another couple hours. Hey, for the possible PP online event, maybe Sim0on would be interested in being a speaker! :smiley: Again, thank you, and good night.

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I tried watching and stopped after 10 minutes.

This guy’s main claim that stuck with me in the first interview was “you should have bought bitcoin at 3 dollar”. And the fact that he converted to Islam, the totalitarian ideology that is used to wreck my country and continent, makes him a big no listen for me. I have no time nor interest to dissect what he says for what is good info and what is framing from his newly adopted faith.

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So, leaving the Islam bit aside… where was the bitcoin bit a bad call? (Hint, its now ~$60kUSD)

Full disclosure, after my final stint in the sandbox, which cemented all I suspected about government lies, I bought BTC at $600 in 2014 - I sold a small chunk recently to buy a car, at an effective cost of $60.

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At the time of the interview, November 25, 2025, the bitcoin price was ~77kUSD. If I followed his lead back then, I would be 20kUSD down today for each Bitcoin I was fooled into buying.

As a contrast, I followed the PP alert of May 9, 2020 and bought silver at 13.35 USD/ounce.

The alert was sent by Adam Taggart, who I also follow on X. He sold some of this silver earlier this year when the price was 120$, and I followed his lead again. The 1000 ounce bar I sold gave me 106kUSD in cash which I used to buy my 1000 ounce bar back last month, and another one this week. So now I have two 1000 ounce silver bars from following PP advice, for an effective cost of 13.350 USD.

You be you, me be me.

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Comforting to think, as Dixon suggests, the current conflicts are ‘bounded’ to avoid WW3 as no one feels that they have a winning hand in that fight. I wonder why he feels that way, and what it would take for the fighting to become ‘unbounded’.

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Let’s run a thought experiment. This world is a Paradox strategy game, like Hearts of Iron or Crusader Kings (or for those out of the gaming world, like SimCity or Civilization). You’re trying to set a record on this playthrough for maximum oil price. A new high score is there for the taking! You control the people we call “them” and manage your pool of influence points with things like the easy-hard framework and many others.

What’s your play?

You could attack the top oil producers. Yeah, you’ll get a price spike, but you’ll bleed influence points. You’ll get demand destruction and a new equilibrium is established.

You realise that the longer you suppress the oil price while the system drains, the more shock is embedded within the system. So, you release the SPR early, you spend influence on making sure everyone knows the oil will flow again. OK, but reality will assert itself at spot/delivery, and there’s still the refined product in the pipeline - that never drained.

Let’s step it up a notch in quality. You prevent reality asserting itself by sneaking in a bigger bottleneck at refining. Now, there’s no oil shortage for the given quantity of refining. Only a refining shortage. But with the low price of oil, there’s no panic, even as the future price of refined product absolutely soars. You’ll know it’s balanced just right if the oil price creeps up in spite of the crack spread doing a moonshot, because it means there’s no oil getting stockpiled, and there’s no hoarding mentality. Ideally time it to match exactly when the SPR runs out.

(You are mostly here)
Now you could let the refining come online in a hurry. The crack spread crashes, but there is no more oil to fulfil the demand, so the oil price crashes upwards. But… you still have influence points to spend, so maybe you can do better than that.

To start with, I’d smash oil harder. End Iranian oil escaping through Hormuz. End Saudi oil escaping on the west coast. Blow up all of Russia’s floating oil storage. (Two of those have happened, the third seems probable). Then I’d see what else I can pull. Venezuelan rebels? Nigerian civil war?

Now what? Detonate the Middle East by going feral on the desalination? Land troops in Iran? Who has other ideas?

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On the surface, it’s a tough pill to swallow.
He seems to have a rather “enlightened” view of Islam as a religion:

Being Muslim is fundamentally about personal accountability to God.

That is very different from the institutional or politicised versions of Islam that you label a “cult”.
At its core, it is a commitment to avoiding gambling, alcohol, drugs, pornography, usury, and activities that harm humanity, while standing against oppression and striving to serve others.

It’s a way of living.

If all Muslims (or Christians) lived like that, we wouldn’t have the issues we have today.

I’m not going to judge him, although my personal opinion is that some of what Islam does is intrinsically linked to the Quran, and can’t just be dismissed as an “misinterpretation”. It is inherently bad, IMO.

The Bible (and NT specifically) is very clear on how we should live - there is no plausible way to justify all the aberrations in Christian religions and “cultures” by pointing to the NT and Jesus’ teaching. They are straight up ignoring their faith, and bending it to fit their narrative.

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There was plenty that I disagreed with but that’s OK and that is not usually going to stop me if there is other valuable information discussed or gleaned. There was.

Very good presentation that was worth the time and very valuable to me.

I may be scatterbrained, distracted or just worn out at times but I still do some noticing of little things, to wit-Chris lets people express themselves fully without interruption.

There were obvious points that Chris disagreed with. But instead of dwelling on those (outside of a brief retort maybe), he didn’t start emotion laced outbursts or belabor some of the differences.

That is very important to me. So often, a host interrupts someone at a key intersection and throws them off of their most salient points. That crap drives me crazy. In Chris’s interview style, some speakers may occasionally drag on but the miracle of modern technology allows me to fast forward thru that or listen at increased playback speed or skip around at will. I do that in pretty much all podcasts and find myself going back to the things that resonate with me and usually listening several times.

The attached transcript and audio versions are also important to me. It gives me options like listening on the road (at lower bandwidth than video) or even copying and pasting key things from the transcript (text notes) in my phone that I want to discuss with family. Keep this up!

It took me a while to get thru this one but it intrigued me enough to go back a few times. Honestly, I fell asleep at one point. Not because of boring content but because I’m old and I was tired. That combination causes nodding occasionally. :rofl:

Anyway, there were several parts that I went back to and played over again. Particularly relevant was toward the end, when wrapping things up and Chris asked Simon, what can one do to offset or protect ones family from what’s coming?

Simon discussed building and maintaining self, health, family, financial sovereignty, community, spirituality, “touch grass” etc., That is excellent advice and ironically reinforces a bunch of unrelated discussions I’ve had here with the tribe recently. I align with that part 100 percent and it was worth hearing it reiterated from a discussion that I didn’t really expect it from.

buen trabajo, el jefe

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Maybe the most important point.

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I hear you but how many bought stocks or real estate or PM’s at the top of past bubbles or just unexpected run ups (not bubbles). I did this myself at times but with most of it, I had the time to recover and valuable life lessons were learned.

I bought BTC back in 2020 from 20k to the high 30’s. Then it collapsed to 16k. Was I pissed and feeling stupid? Of course but I chased falling knives all the way down. This lowered my basis and worked for me but it wasn’t easy to do.

I’m glad I did now-not only when it hit 120k last year but even going down to the 40’s or 50’s, I’m still in the black. Not bragging, I was lucky I guess but any investment obviously hinges on the entry point or basis. Those saying that BTC is not a store of value doesn’t compute personally. Not yet anyway, it certainly could at some point but 6 years in, its an incredible store of value to me.

I’m probably an outlier here but I like PM’s as much as BTC, probably more. I’ve been in those for 4 times longer but there were times they didnt pencil and they certainly did not give me the returns or earnings that other investments did. They still had great value to me though and it wasnt really tallied in pure returns. Never sold and ounce.

I’m not really into any other digital asset now. My opinion is they don’t measure up and don’t fit my use case. I don’t count on any one solution to any hedge for what’s coming or what never comes though. Some things will under perform, some will shine and some will fail. Some depends on age, risk and time horizon. The “Fuggers Portfolio” as mentioned often by Chris (not precisely but therabouts) works best for me at my station in life.

As @Jaap succinctly noted, “you do you, I’ll do me.” Of course and as it always should be. We each have our own story beliefs and timeline.

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Another great interview, as Simon is clearly a brilliant player. The world may very well be playing 5-D chess, and Simon is layering on his 7-D interpretation. My simple share – if something snaps, the chess board gets flipped over and things change rapidly.

That is the challenge I have with all these “theories”. It’s certainly fun to try figure things out, and we are always playing that game. But at the end of the day, it feels like something is about to snap, and we have to make sure we allocate plenty of time and energy towards the solutions set, which stays relatively constant, regardless of the theory.

And is sure is nice having a solid set of solutions – thanks to the PP, CM, and this winning tribe.

Cheers

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