The Real Costs of the Iran Conflict: Energy, Markets & the Shift to a Multipolar World

Chris in the Media
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Originally published at: The Real Costs of the Iran Conflict: Energy, Markets & the Shift to a Multipolar World – Peak Prosperity

I was recently interviewed by Mario Nawfal, where we discussed the rapidly unfolding situation in the Middle East following the exchanges between Iran, Israel, and the United States. We dug into the real impacts on energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, the fog of incomplete and conflicting information coming out of the region, the challenges of assessing true damage to infrastructure when satellite imagery and shipping data tell a different story than official narratives, and what this all means for global markets, supply chains, and the broader shift toward a multipolar world.

As someone who’s spent years tracking these complex systems, I emphasize looking past the headlines to the ground truth, because the cascading effects on oil, agriculture, and economic stability could be profound if things aren’t resolved carefully. The full interview is below.

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A CIA employee, who is, as of now still unnammed, will testify before congress today on the origins of COVID-19. Rand Paul, chairman of the Homeland Security Committee, brings him to congress.

Basically, what he will say is that the CIA overwhelmingly (“5 out of 6 analysts”) understood that Covid-19 was a lab created chimeric virus.

Josh Howley sponsored and passed a bill demanding “the Biden team” declassify the intelligence reports. He did this because he was reading these reports and knew what they said (“it was a lab creation”) and this was opposite to the public statements of the White House and CIA leadership.

https://x.com/HawleyMO/status/2054368765450571941?s=20

Here, Peter Fleming, lists the milestones in the creation of human-infectious chimeric Coronaviruses. 3 min video. Major virologist players are Ralph Baric and Shi Zengli, our old buddies.

https://x.com/DGrayTexas45/status/2051790592514969603?s=20

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Maryl Nass reports yesterday that Ralph Baric was suspended from his work as a virologist at UNC. Again. (He was suspended a couple of weeks ago also.) The cite “a pattern of deception.”

Science article explaining the suspension is here.

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The Iranian position seems to be the “Samson” solution. Please recall that Samson pulled down the temple on himself and his tormentors. If so, it would be a in accordance with the extremist Islamist wish for personal martyrdom. And it would match the way Hitler went – by failing to win, Germany showed itself unworthy. Therefore, rather than surrender and die, Hitler chose to allow his own people to be destroyed rather than commit a timely suicide. Not exactly the heroic self-sacrifice of the Burghers of Calais. If the Iran regime and religious hierarchy choose suffering of the Iranian people rather than admit defeat or even to surrender power in order to provide relief to the people, the ultimate morality of the holders of power in Iran will be on display.

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You - or at least your name and one of your charts - also showed up yesterday in a discussion between Daniel Davis and Douglas Macgregor, starting here:

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We are all cannon fodder and chess pieces to TPTB. It is nothing new, regardless of Nation as they prefer to send your sons and daughters while they find ways to buffer their children.

However, playing devils advocate, Iran is viewing things that if USrael gets its way, the country formerly known as Iran will be a certified and dysfunctional shithole. We know that for a certainty because we have seen USrael do that in Syria, Lybia, Lebanon, Gaza etc.

When your country becomes a certified dysfunctional shithold you can expect, chaos, mass death and violence. Which ever decision Iran takes, they will receive a lot of pain. If Iran decides not to surrender, they can return the pain.

USrael loves to breakup ME nations where they are no threat to Israel by getting the population to fight among themselves. Ergo “Rats in a Cage”.

And I will just add that there will not be any relief for the people. Just look at Gaza where Israel had its boot on the necks of the Palestinians. We even have a Jewish journalist who lived among those in Gaza and claims that Israel was calibrating the diets of the Palestinians just above the starvation level.

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Wait, what? Are you suggesting that Iran is losing this conflict? The SoH has been shut down for two-months. Almost all of the US forward operating bases in the Middle East have been rendered inoperable.

I’m not sure where you are getting your information from… hopefully you are not trusting the gaslighting that is coming out of Washington.

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Art Berman’s take is that the outcome of the Iran war is going to force people to use a lot less energy. The question is, was this done on purpose as we humans have outgrown the petri-dish or is this just another cyclical stain on human history?

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I used to follow Nate a while ago and this is spot on. I have stopped following the news closely and just going with the idea that this really is “The great simplification” and there is absolutely no rush to open the straight, nor does Trump care about the pain we feel. This is a globally carefully orchestrated kabuki theater to entertain us when we aren’t watching sports. Ukraine just hit the two central pumping stations that are the pinch points that deliver oil from Russia’s east to the west where everyone lives. Over the last month Russia’s oil infrastructure has been systematically dismantled by Ukraine and obviously the US is ok with that. Nobody is talking about Russia and the oil just going away for a while along with the straight.

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Not on the topic of this thread, but definitely the hot topic of the day.

Senator Rand Paul got an active CIA analyst to testify before congress today. A number of things that the PP crowd knew were clearly stated in the testimony.

“Dr. Fauci’s role in the cover-up was intentional.”

“Public health policy would have been very different had the American public been made aware that a virus from a lab in China was going to serve as the foundation for an emergency use authorization mRNA products being mandated by the former administration.” - James Erdman, CIA whistleblower

https://x.com/AaronSiriSG/status/2054657585933111555?s=20

https://x.com/ChildrensHD/status/2054576808402505909?s=20

Senator Rand Paul just REVEALED Anthony Fauci BRIBED a scientist with a $9 million grant to switch his opinion on COVID starting in a lab to the natural origin theory.

“One author received a $9 million grant from Dr. Fauci’s own agency.”

“After he changed his opinion from the lab leak hypothesis on a private phone call to the natural origin theory publicly.”

“Dr. Fauci shaped the conclusions.”

“Dozens of times he referred to the idea that the pandemic originating in the lab was a conspiracy theory.”

“Some scientists on that call privately raised serious concerns about a laboratory origin.”

“Yet ironically, those same scientists later co-authored the Proximal Origin paper, which publicly dismissed the lab leak hypothesis.”

“These were not independent experts reaching a consensus.”

“They were part of the same machine designed to reach the same conclusion.”

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A CIA whistleblower testified under oath today that the government’s official Covid origins report is false.
Senator Josh Hawley laid out the timeline.

Congress passed a law requiring declassification of any and all information linking the Wuhan Institute of Virology to Covid-19. The Biden administration blew through the statutory deadline, then produced five pages, all heavily redacted. One of them a cover note.

Hawley held it up in the hearing room. Then asked CIA whistleblower James Erdmann: is this all the information the US government had?

It is not. Director Gabbard is currently working through an estimated 2,000 pages for the first release batch alone. Former DNI Avril Haines signed the letter to Hawley saying five pages was everything they could declassify. Her office sent it - with her signature.

Hawley read the two key conclusions from that report into the record. Nothing researched at the Wuhan lab could plausibly be a progenitor of SARS-CoV-2. No evidence of any research-related incident involving Wuhan employees. Then he asked Erdmann directly: are those statements true?

“No. I don’t believe that’s true.”

Three violations, on the record. They defied the law. They withheld thousands of pages they knew were covered by it. And the conclusions they did release are false.

Hawley closed with this: if elected and unelected officials can blatantly violate the statutes of this country and lie to the American people, we don’t have a democracy anymore. Source

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https://x.com/liz_churchill10/status/2054591975039377722?s=20

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Fauci hand-picked the experts who told the intelligence community COVID was not a lab leak. Those same experts helped him rewrite gain-of-function definitions in 2015. They took his funding. They worked with his Chinese partners. This was not a coincidence. This was a system designed to produce a predetermined outcome.

https://x.com/RandPaul/status/2054582936490438930?s=20

And again

https://x.com/NicHulscher/status/2054638308970422665?s=20

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In Clauswitzian terms, Iran is not ‘failing to win’ …not once you realise the ‘schwerpunkt’ of this war is whether Hormuz is open or closed…

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Iran isn’t going to win with their current strategy, they are just going to ensure everyone loses.

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Michael Yon says that there is going to be a global “Slow Famine”, which is the worst kind of famine.

Michael Yon recommends the book “Red Famine” before wading into the books about the Chinese famines. I’ve read a couple of books about the post-Great Leap Forward Famine in China and Pol Pot’s engineered famine in Cambodia.

Based upon my limited experience with Fasting, it seems that the body goes through distinct phases as it progressively grapples with calorie deprivation. According to Grok, a bloke can survive 8 to 21 without eating. Apparently, you eventually reach a deranged state in which you’ll literally eat friends, neighbors, and family members, like a Zombie.

I’m a big believer in Fasting. Most people are fat, and they are constantly stuffing their faces.

The Strait Jacket of Hormuz

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What other things have become public “law” while the government continues anyway?

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Reading about Pol Pot’s famine in Khmer Rouge Cambodia was weird as I read much of that knock off photographed book on a beach while eating copious amounts of Cambodian food and banana pancakes while drinking huge fresh coconuts that cost US$ 1 dollar each.

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Already they’re trying to bury this. The London Times just posted an article saying that the “consensus theory” is that Covid arose naturally.

It’s a good thing that no one ever told Albert Einstein that the “consensus theory“ was that “time and space are constants” and that he could not go against consensus.

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And that is a good definition of asymmetric warfare.

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Due diligence is key. Be careful of who you align and share platforms with. Reputations that take years even decades to build can get tarnished in seconds.

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Plus they understand that with all of this action everyone will despise the one person that needs to be adulated and adored.

I wonder if in time the ‘Boomer’ generation will be rebranded the ‘Buster’s? The ones who were given it all by the generation who fought for it only to completely squander it, ruin it for the following generations for their own selfish comfort and then refuse to let go :thinking:

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Except that dastardly Speed of Light consensus.

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I was wondering about this guy… suddenly came “out of nowhere” with all of those great guests daily… I’m also wondering all of those great guests don’t research who they’re going to do interview with…? Kind of strange..
It’s also annoying to know these days what’s true and what’s not…