I want to thank you Chris for all your content, especially your approach to the attempt on Trump. Best stuff out there. I have no new raw information to share with your community here (so dang smart they are!). Rather, I am just a seasoned observer of these types of events and I’ve learned how to twist the kaleidoscope a bit and maybe tease out some understanding. Not evidence, just understanding. A man needs be able to sleep at night; something all of us have been robbed of since J13. Apologies if my rambling has already been posted here by others. I’ve not read the whole board.
FBI Behavior: The FBI’s obstruction and lack of communication is very telling, but of what exactly? First, the fact that they have not yet fed us a complete case closed “lone gunman” story is telling us that the event is not of their crafting. The intelligence services are the masters of these events and they don’t make mistakes. If it was their operation, run through their channels, with their assets, we would have had the patsy’s identity along with a wacky manifesto within an hour or two; case closed. Instead, rewatch the FBI press conference from the late evening of J13. That FBI representative is scared shitless. The event had all the tell-tale signs of a patsy-handler-pro event, but it wasn’t THEIRS. That freaked them out. If it wasn’t theirs, whose was it? FBI behavior is telling us there was no “lone gunman” at Butler. We should believe them and spend zero time considering it.
Who’s Event?: There’s much less available to help understand this. It would have to be some entity with access to the knowledge of how to craft a patsy-handler-pro event, and the operational infrastructure to pull it off. Remember, this would have to be done away from US intelligence services. Perhaps Blackrock’s connection to Crooks is a place to start. Blackrock could have been the source of organizational infrastructure for the operation. Who sponsored it? Cui Bono. Whoever did it, it was very sloppy.
LIHOP versus MIHOP: Unfortunately, the way these events are crafted entails both LIHOP and MIHOP. Never one without the other. And to facilitate proper execution you segregate the LIHOP and MIHOP operations into separate organizations. The number of people who know the whole operation is very, very few. At Butler, USSS had the LIHOP operation. The MIHOP operation was embedded within the LEO presence. It is a big mistake to presume it’s only either LIHOP or MIHOP, because LIHOP is obvious and proven first. Once you’ve bagged the LIHOP and scolded those responsible (LIHOP is incompetence, never a crime), the review is shut down thus protecting the MIHOP operation. The USSS is clearly the designed scapegoat here, complete with MSM hero-making for the LEOs.
Was There a Drill? Often the more sophisticated operations that involve multiple different governmental organizations are executed in the context of a drill being run at the same time and place. 9/11 and 7/7 are both well-documented examples of this “running a drill” fingerprint. In such a drill you have a good guy team and a bad guy team, and the drill is designed for the two teams to take opposing positions and practice through elements like command, control and communication without any live fire. The drill in essence imposes a stand down, or delays prompt reaction because everyone thinks what they are seeing is just the drill. Presence of a drill would explain key elements:
• the bizarre pacman USSS perimeter with the AGR ESUs physically opposing the USSS;
• the open widows along the second floor of AGR facing the stage area;
• Local ESUs placed within those rooms versus the rooftops (that’s an attacking posture, not defensive);
• the fact that USSS and the LEOs were on separate communication channels; and
• the length of time for Hercules 1 to get their shot off even though they had a far better view of Crooks than did the local ESU guy who took shot #9, and had turned to the north a full minute and a half (estimated?) before Crooks took his first shot.
Drill Goes Live (Where’s the Handler?): Does this mean all the LEOs are active in the MIHOP? No, presence of the drill induces their benign participation. A very small number are actually MIHOP actors, but they are embedded within the LEO presence. Who are we looking for? Well, in one oft-used template for these gun events there is a patsy who ends up dead, check. Then there is a handler and at least one professional shooter (you can’t trust the patsy to shoot). Identifying the handler should be the focus of next steps because his role is most critical to the drill going live. It is the handler’s job to get the patsy to his event position on time and with the incriminating evidence on him. That is the handler’s one and only job. If the handler fails, drill does not go live. Sound like a babysitter? Exactly. These patsies can’t be trusted to get into position at the designated time, and often they need assistance to subvert whatever surveillance is present. Who’s the handler? I’d be very concerned about the 3rd ESU sniper who left early “by design.” We don’t know where he went and if he has a documented alibi for where ever he was at the time of the shooting. Maybe he had a babysitting job to tend to. IT IS A MISTAKE TO THINK BECAUSE HE LEFT EARLY HE IS NOT A KEY TO THE ANSWER.
Greg Nichol (Pro Shooter?): Wow. Much of the sloppiness here centers around Greg and I’m sure the FBI is none too pleased with him. He’s making the cleanup exceptionally difficult. It’s certainly possible he’s the shooter. But it could also be the 2nd ESU sniper who reportedly left the overwatch position, yet has gone unnamed. They are hiding his name while giving us Greg. My bet is the shooter is this unnamed ESU sniper. What was Greg’s job? Somebody had to signal to the shooter that the drill has gone live (i.e., the patsy is a “GO”). That is essentially what Greg did with his final slightly incoherent text mentioning Sheets. It has built in plausible deniability and was likely predefined as the “GO” code word.
Where Does This Go Next (Tehran?): It feels like they are trying to steer this story to an “Iran did it” myth. It serves them many ways. The FBI already claims they have a documented assassination threat from Iran pre-Butler. This may have been the claimed context for running an OPFOR drill. Claiming a national security threat achieves a lot. Shuts down all inquiries and silences the LEOs under threat of prosecution.
I really enjoy your content Chris, and your community. Everyone stay safe. Wacky days.