I believe for sure that Crooks did what he was told and Nicol’s must have either been in on it or could not NOT have stopped it by just yelling at the kid from a window. Also, he needs to explain why if he first took the photo at 5:15 p.m., he did not circulate it until 5:45 p.m. (or so). His “excuse”, perhaps would be, “I only thought he was a threat when I later saw him with a range finder.” Of course there is no photo of him with a range finder??? Could it be, that the photo got circulated only when Nicol’s was informed about when Trump would soon come on stage? Did Nicol know that the scheduled start of the rally was being delayed by an hour?
Nicol’s true whereabouts and the true story of he and the other sniper in the overlook building is the key to this “mystery” IMO. Of course, Congress has yet to speak with any of these people even though at least one person on the “committee” said that was the way to get to the bottom of what happened.
I have a theory about Crooks, piecing together ideas from myself and others and open source information.
Crooks, knowingly or unwittingly, was a disposable patsy recruited and put on the shelf MK Ultra style, one of many “assets” around the country waiting to be activated. He was a computer nerd, either bribed or blackmailed (e.g. real or planted child porn on his computer). We have indications of encrypted foreign accounts (a very odd detail), and that he checked his phone for porn before his attack (a very odd act).
Crooks was not acting alone, believed he would survive to escape, and believed he was meeting at least one other person pre-attack.
Evidence: We are told he had a white van with explosives (IED) parked in a residential area a few miles away, and Crooks was carrying the initiator. But the receiver switch on the device was in the “off” position. This can only be described as an intended diversionary device to draw attention away from him during his escape. I can think of no other reason to go thru the effort to assemble and stage this IED van. And it makes no sense for it to be miles away and the bomb in the “off” position. Pointless. It only makes sense if another person was to drive it to the S or SW side of the rally and stage it, and turn the switch to “on,” making the device ready.
It is reasonable to assume that co-conspirator was also “supposed to” have a rifle and shoot at President Trump.
Obviously, that portion of the plan fell thru, whether by CIA design or that person failed to show we don’t know. Could have been a ruse, or that person was unreliable.
The ladder. Crooks purchases a 5’ ladder. That is an odd size given the height of these rooftops. Some theories.
A. He didn’t know what size and figured 5’ would be able to be smuggled to the location, and/or perhaps did not put it in place early enough to avoid observation.
B. His handlers told him to leave it home knowing he could not sneak a ladder onto the grounds, and instructed him to improvise parcore up on the air conditioning unit and shed.
C. (My prior theory that his handlers may have emplaced the tall orange ladder but Crooks could not find it has been debunked by the new police cam video released showing the officer being boosted up, and no ladder).
One would think an assassin would wait in the shadows, hiding, until ready to move and strike. Crooks was wandering around openly for only 1 of 2 rational reasons.
A: He was supposed to meet 1 or more co-conspirators who failed to show. This may have been legitimate other parties that chickened out, or a CIA ruse.
Part of the CIA ruse appears to give plenty of opportunities for Crooks to be seen at the event for the later narrative of a lone gunman, but I haven’t fully worked out those details.
I can adopt the theory that Crooks’ handlers were communicating to him through secret messages on a pornography website, which is why he was checking his phone for instructions or to meet his co-conspirator. He might have been told to meet his partner at the picnic table (where he was observed), at that retaining wall under the snipers, unknown to him to be photographed so the team could generate some “white hat” or plausible deniability (“Hey, we alerted everyone to this guy… and went to go find him…”). And note, using a range finder in the open is a bizarre act, when that distance could be eye-balled or looked upon Google Earth…
The plan may have involved enough of a plausible excuse to have the 2nd story counter snipers to see Crooks acting very suspect (range finder, etc.) and leave their posts to “go find this suspicious man” and get “locked out,” (both are implausible inane excuses for the record) etc. which is the cover story we are given. However the excuses are implausible especially the timing (being gone from their post for a unreasonably long period, some 6+ minutes!). And this is compounded by the long list of security failures (poor location for counter snipers being inside with narrow windows and poor fields of observation, open unguarded rooftops on the AGR, security with only pistols, a obvious lack of interest of the rooftop by a dozen cops running around looking everywhere except the rooftop, etc.).
B. Crooks was an unwilling patsy and wanted to get stopped, detained and captured. Evidence. Openly using a rangefinder, not carrying any ID, carrying a detonation device, a ladder receipt etc. Any diligent search of the grounds would likely recover his bag with a rifle. These would all be cause to at least detain him.
Evidence Crooks mindset is a plan to survive and escape, leading to the inevitable conclusion that there was an inside helper(s) who promised him survival.
A. The diversionary IED van. I can think of no other purpose for it, than someone was to drive it to the rally and arm it for a diversion. The most sensible plan was for Crooks to fire his rifle, then detonate the van parked at the rally by a partner. If Crooks was to go to the van and do something with it, no need for him to be carrying the remote detonator.
Note: High probability the IED van was constructed and parked there as a double-cross for Crooks to believe he had a diversionary exit strategy. He was given the detonator and a (fake) notion about a partner and the van. The CIA constructed a weak/crude IED, parked it, and it was never going to detonate as it was “off” and probably not even connected. May not even been a real IED.
Note also, it’s amazing how the Feds immediately found this white van miles away given all their other incompetence. What prompted them to look for a white van with Arizona plates parked miles away? A “tip?” Highly suspect… Unless they knew it was there the whole time.
[Note: We have seen this same pipe bomb ruse with the Feds planting one at the J6 event and then sitting on it.]
B. Having thought about it more, the IED van could have been a attempt to use it to ram and attack the President upon his medical evacuation if he were only wounded and transported out in his vehicle, ambulance, etc. Of course that still requires the van be occupied, staged perhaps on the route to the hospital, etc. That however also requires a partner because Crooks could not have been at the van.
C. He was using a rifle easily known to be traceable back to his residence and father. It only makes sense if he either wanted to get caught before hand, or he believed he would escape, or he wanted to implicate his parents.
D. Receipt for the ladder in his pocket. This could be an innocuous detail, forgetfulness, laziness, clutter, or show an intent to keep the receipt to return it. Or it could have been further cause to detain him hence his open wandering around lasering the place…
Implicating his parents. As a clearly disturbed kid, he may have had hatred for his parents. Evidence. He apparently researched the Michigan parents who were convicted for having aided their son in a mass shooting, providing the gun and ignoring warning signs. His plot may have been to implicate his parents for criminal and civil charges by leaving the rifle (whether he was dead or alive).
Excellent analysis, plausible, and highly likely course of events had it been successful. Blame Iran, install a neo-con RINO warhawk or re-elect Biden, perfect cover action for war with Iran, and ban AR15s and “assault weapons” as icing on the cake.
Big Tim, everything you wrote is reasonable and natural. I can’t quibble with any of your rationalizations as being unlikely. Thank you for sharing the result of your mulling, and allowing multiple possibilities.
While we may not know yet or ever the exact motivations of Crooks or whether he was intended to escape or die a hero, those answers are not that important. The pre-planned security flaws with predictable consequences, odd behaviors by Crooks, sequential massive “incompetence” of SS and BC ESU snipers, silence by the feds, disabled IED, are under no doubt and too many to be merely coincidental, so the stench is high. If you start to ponder “cui bono” then the stench rises further, had Trump died and the country become traumatized and angry:
Unpopular Biden becomes more popular as a revengeful national unifier (like H.W. Bush became after 9/11), a welcome boost for his electoral chances five days after his comment “It’s time to put Trump in a bullseye.”
FBI and DS get a ban on semi-auto guns and an excuse for draconian surveillance and harassment of gun owners
DS and zios get to pin the assassination on Iran (see my other post), starting another war for profit, power, domestic control, and pro-Israel policies
Thank you for checking about the window, this turned out to be a false guess.
Your comment about Greg Nicol finding himself locked out of AGR 6 at 8:26/6:15:05 is significant. He was one of two BC ESU snipers assigned to the 2nd floor of AGR 7 and their abandonment of their posts was allegedly because:
One BC ESU sniper decided to go out of the building and look for suspect, see page 6, apparently to the east side where two (police) cars pulled in (the unmarked one being a grey PA police cruiser)
The other BC ESU sniper supposedly left in AGR had to go out to let (1) back in because allegedly (1) did not have an access card
So if Greg Nicol does not have an access in this video, and excuses (1-2) are true, then he’d be sniper (1). That would be consistent with he being the one to have taken a picture of Crooks and having more visual familiarity with the suspect.
It’s extremely weird that we still do not know, 28 days later, who the other BC ESU sniper assigned to 2nd windows was!
If there was a second shooter, the lack of info about his name and looks would be consistent with protecting him from scrutiny/interviews.
Below video is one of the earlier analysis videos of ReelJustice.
Just watch the first 3.5 minutes and from 6:40 to the end.
There are several things wrong with the analysis, but the focus of this video is on the girl with the white dress, standing all by herself at the fence of the secured perimeter, looking at the building where the shots would come from.
As soon as the shots are fired, she runs back to the SS area behind Trump’s podium. Was she the signal to the other’s of the plot to proceed with the plan?
Ignore the references in the video to the guy in the red shirt. In a later video he corrects his analysis, because the guy in the red shirt is Dave Stewart and what he thinks is a gun is actually Dave’s cell phone.
But why is the girl in the white dress standing at the fence line.
Below is a screenshot taken from one of the Bodycam videos.
Excellent find. She is highly suspicious, not because she was looking at AGR 6 just before the shooting (the many police running thereabouts were sure to draw attention), but because of her proximity to Secret Service in 3-3:30 and 6:35-end, as you point out!
Btw, would you please link to the bodycam video of the bottom screenshot, please?
Here are some closeups of your screen shot and two AI-unblurred versions:
wow that guy spent 20 minutes having and hearing some interesting conversations and we get to hear none of it. I honestly wonder if this bodycam was kept intentionally muted, because I think all the others have audio, even the dash cams.
edit; Bodycam belongs to the Bulter PD Lieutenant Matthew Pearson, so I’m guessing that the audio is muted on purpose. those 20 minutes probably have a fuck ton of sensitive info.
Picture from BC when SS agent first up on roof next to Crooks dead body.
If Greg was in Bld. 6 by East door when first shots fired he could have run back to his post from cross over b/t bld. 6 and Bld 3 to get eyes on Crooks in 30 seconds from any of these windows.
Can someone explain something to me? In the video of the shooter running on the roof, he runs from left to right, disappears for a few seconds, and then comes up in position. But in the Spa Guy drone video, the path of travel is projected to be straight up the east side of the roofs. I used a previous image and drew the Spa Guy path as I understood it in yellow, and the path from the Copenhaver video in green.
I realize the perspective is off in the Copenhaver video, so can someone explain how the apparent movement from left to right lines up with the Spa Guy video?
If you try to imagine this from the bleachers ground level, as I’ve tried to illustrate, if Crooks took the paths in blue it would appear he was moving left to right. I went a little extreme with the angle but you get the point hopefully.
I drew the blue lines to reflect my best understanding of where he gained access, there was an AC unit, then a short shed. He was last seen in this area. You might also be right on his roof access location. Regardless, the path would appear “left to right” from the bleachers vantage. The “dip down” would likely be his crossing that lower bridge between the buildings.
I think Spa Guy initially was thinking the a/c to shed route, but then found an a/c unit with the top missing, finger marks in the siding, and footprints on the roof in the opening on the other side of that building. i wondered if maybe he cut to his right to the wall of the 2nd story building to catch his and move to the edge of the roof closer to the stage, and then went to the breezeway drop down.
I’m sure it’s probably not that big of a deal, I was just trying to make it make sense. Thanks for responding.
