With that GIF it does look there is some “smoke” (I would assume this is galvanizing coating?) behind Mr. Dutch’s shoulder’s and head. The white stripe at their waist level is changing brightness, but it’s hard to tell if that would be from “smoke” or from a different amount of sunlight hitting that spot due to the banner moving.
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…almost below belt level, white becomes gray for 8 frames.
ToughOldBird’s right arm may have dripped blood, plasma, fragments of lead, zinc, steel.
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I’m reading the document detailing the suspension of Pittsburgh SAIC Tim Burke. He got a 14 day suspension. It’s well worth the read; there are a lot of details.
https://www.hsgac.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/PITTSBURGH-SAIC-COMBINED_FINAL.pdf
What’s infuriating:
“The offense of “Dereliction of Supervisory Responsibility,” Offense Code 5.6, provides for a standard penalty of a five-day suspension, a mitigated penalty of a letter of reprimand to a three-day suspension, and an aggravated penalty of a seven day to a fourteen-day
suspension.”
He got the AGGRAVATED PENALTY. That was just 14 days.
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The shot strikes the bleacher, and the wind carries the impact debris away. As a result, the smoke rises higher a few milliseconds after the impact.
I can’t believe that after more than a year we are still back at square one — namely, the fact that the first shot grazed Trump’s ear and then struck the corner of the bleachers.
To settle this debate once and for all, I took the time to provide indisputable evidence by synchronizing the two video recordings. Using the command below, I added timestamps to both videos so they could be compared with milliseconds precision:
.\ffmpeg -i "shot1_bleachers.mp4" -vf "drawtext=text='%{pts\:hms}':x=560:y=300:fontsize=24:fontcolor=yellow:box=1:boxcolor=black@0.5" -c:a copy "shot1_bleachers_with_timestamps.mp4"
For synchronization, I chose a clear point of reference visible in both videos: the girl to the left of David raises her left arm from a downward to an upward position shortly after shot 1.
We can now synchronize the footage frame by frame:
- 00:05.500 – Arm down, bleacher corner unobstructed:
- 00:05.533 – Shot 1 impacts top bleacher corner
- 00:05.567 – Impact debris carried away by the wind
- 00:05.767 – Arm raised
Time between arm raised and shot impact:
00:05.767 – 00:05.533 = 0.234 seconds
So it takes 234 milliseconds for the girl to raise her left arm after shot 1 impacts the bleachers top railing.
Now let’s compare in the Comparator video:
- 01:18.412 – Trump is looking toward the audience
- 01:18.495 – Trump turns head toward the screen
- 01:18.662 – Shot 1 grazes Trump’s ear
- 01:18.704 – Impact debris visible at the bleacher corner, arm is still down
- 01:18.912 – Girl’s left arm raised
Time between arm raised and shot grazing ear:
01:18.912 – 01:18.662 = 0.250 seconds
Please note that all of these screen shots occur within a single second.
The results are consistent: in both videos, there is identical timing between the shot and the girl raising her arm. This forensic time analysis proves that the first shot grazed Trump’s ear and then struck the upper bleacher corner.
That would make some sense, except James Copenhaver says he was shot by the first bullet and we see his arm react at the time of the first shot.
So we have two competing impact points. And I don’t have a good way to choose one over the other as the bullet that hit Trump’s ear.
Backtracing a shot that hits Trump’s ear and then Copenhavers arm gives a location that is just above one of the big vents on AGR 6. I don’t see how that works.
I’ve discussed my views on the eastern vent. I think it’s possible, but it would most likely be a subsonic bullet, so we’re right back to sourcing a bullet that sounds a little muffled with a .220 snap bang time. And we’d need to think what kind of material could be shot through but would appear to be solid.
I’m not even going to dismiss the possibility there were THREE bullets flying at the same time, with one hitting Trump, one hitting the railing, and one hitting Copenhaver.
There could easily have been a sniper on AGR 9, and there were gobs of positions in trees. Then there are a couple of videos where people on the south side are shots were coming from the south.
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Not millisecond precision but 33 ms, the frame duration!
I don’t see how you can be sure, seeing such a blurry image, that a bullet traveling at 1000 m/s just hit Trump’s ear!
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We have multiple videos of the impact on the top bleacher corner. Since we have multiple consistent video records, they outweigh a single spoken testimony.
Since we have over 10 separate recordings at different locations all capture only one shot, the default conclusion is that only one gunshot occurred.
- the rail impact was no less than 1/4 second before ‘shot 1’.
- the zinz dust/lead dust rolled off the railtop southwest…not south…interesting I/we can’t see the dustball in Corey’s frames…
- the rail impact bullet was behind the back of ToughOldBird
- 5 or more suppressed shots can be heard on Dayve’s recording, as Trump says ‘couple of months old, that chart’
- roger-knight began by posting a video with ‘forwarded’ audio
“FlowerLady” turns her head away from the TV 1/2 second before Trump’s ear(my number 150). Her head flinches 1/4 second before Trump’s ear.
Watch FlowerLady in frames 149 to 156(Trump’s ear, I claim 161 or 162):
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Actually - without audio - I cannot observe the frame when Trump’s ear was hit.
He believed only the medical aid command post was going to be separated.
The SAIC doesn’t need to wait invitation. He should have organized the meetings and walkthroughs - in person or by someone “on behalf of him”. Anyway, he should have been aware.
From other hand, sometimes the boss wants to check how a “trainee” or candidate for higher responsibility would perform such tasks. But it does not mean letting her/him doing without supervision.
His defensive answers show he tried to get rid of responsibility - in very stupid ways.
(In my country it would be “negligence causing death in the course of job”.)
But…
this procedure - as big picture - looks like “panem et circus”. Or…
Muttley was doing something.
dust particles I guess
Smoke of hot air should goes up from burning flames. But I think it is just smoke of dust particles - which are not very hot.
Anyway, the FBI didn’t reveal the railing impact.
Well, I cannot see the frame when Trump’s ear was hit. Only from the audio can I assume. But the audio might be off technically, and the sound propagation needs time - to be considered.
Sorry for the small inaccuracy in my statement about millisecond precision. I immediately corrected my comment from millisecond to milliseconds.
Not only do we see dynamic movement with Trump’s ear in frame 01:18.662, but we can also calculate the timing using this method:
From the two synchronized videos, we have confirmed that the debris smoke seen in the first video corresponds to the same impact as shot 1 in the Comparatore video, which is frame 01:18.704. As you mentioned, the bullet travels at approximately 1000 m/s, and the distance between Trump’s ear and the bleachers’ impact point is 79 feet.
Therefore, it takes about 0.024 seconds, or 24 ms, for the bullet to travel from grazing Trump’s ear to striking the corner of the bleachers.
Thus, we know that shot 1 impacted the bleachers at 01:18.704. To determine when shot 1 grazed Trump’s ear, we subtract 24 milliseconds, giving us 01:18.680. The next possible video frame is 01:18.662, which corresponds to one frame earlier.
The “default” conclusion (narrative), and the one that’s being pushed, is that Thomas Matthew Crooks fired eight shots, period. I’m going to think in print on that here for a moment. Unbelievably, the little group on X seems to be devolving into “single shooter” people, and I need to ponder how to approach them without getting blocked by more people.
There are six early impacts, only two of which can be attributed one bullet without turning to “magic bullet” theories.
The railing shot, Dutch’s injury, two injuries to Copenhaver and the telehandler shot all have to be considered separate bullets.
(It seems highly unlikely that a portion of a bullet could leave David Dutch’s body and then penetrate a steel line of 0.16" thickness, leaving a perfectly circular hole.)
If one were going with the lone shooter theory, shot 1 has to be assigned to the railing shot, shot 2 to David Dutch, and shot 3 to the telehandler. That means one has to claim that James Copenhaver wasn’t hit at all until shot 4.
(I went away to look at my pics/videos of James Copenhaver during shots 1-3). I just realized how tall those railings are. There’s a 37" or 38" bunting with another 8" or so above the seats. So that’s 46" or maybe 48" of height to the railing. Anyone who was standing in the back row and had their head and a substantial part of their torso above the railing were standing on the back row seat.
This guy just about has to be the friend James Copenhaver told he was shot, BTW. He almost certainly looks closer and lower in photos because he’s standing on bleacher floor, while Copenhaver is standing on the seat.
I’ll look for absolute proof that Mr. Copenhaver’s arm injury was before shot 4. I know that “lone shooter” people stick to their narrative until they are absolutely forced to leave it. People that are being PAID to stick with the lone shooter narrative NEVER leave it. There are a couple of guys with fairly big selling books on the JFK assassination that make their money being sellers of the lone nutter narrative. They will simply ignore the HUGE problems with their narrative.
returning to track down videos…
Found a new one! I don’t know if there is all that much new but this person was in the center bleachers and did have the camera on Trump for the first shot:
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Forklift pressure hoses are generally made from rubber or thermoplastic, reinforced with layers of high-tensile steel wire or textile braid to withstand high pressures. While the reinforcement is often steel wire, steel itself is not the primary material of the entire hose; rather, it’s a composite material designed to be flexible while providing the necessary strength for the hydraulic fluid.
And the “circular” hole, to which you apparently refer, was in aluminum.
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What you say about forklift pressure hoses may be true, but the line that was pierced was no hose, and it wasn’t flexible. I don’t have the means to prove it was made of steel other than a highly unreliable conversation with Grok, but there would be absolutely no reason to try to save weight with that pipe, which is about the only advantage of aluminum. If that pipe were made of aluminum, someone could bash it with a tire iron, or pierce it with an ice pick, inadvertently hit it with similar force, and the thing would be unusable until expensive repairs were made.
By the way, I found a frame from Mia Kopp’s video showing the fluid right after shot 3:
It really does look like the fluid was deflected by the vinyl cover.
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The shiny metal with the bullet hole looks like aluminum, which could be only an outer shield for the plumbing underneath.
“steel reinforced rubber hose” was Firefox’s AI overview answer to my question about forklift plumbing.
I don’t know how you made that conclusion, unless you talked to the people who repaired it.
And, ‘cracked’, could have the same result as ‘pierced’.
Even rigid steel tubing, I think, could be cracked by a bullet impact.
If we are to believe the makers of the documentary “Who Shot Trump”, the FBI took a piece of the hydraulic pipe as evidence, and this is the cut end.
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Found another new video or two on TikTok, and a much better quality version of one I had seen before.
This video isn’t particularly useful, but there is one funny frame. See the photographer at right, looking kind of glum? They must have confiscated his equipment if he isn’t even trying to take any pictures as Trump passes by.
I came across this screengrab from an old peak prosperity “citizens investigation” before somebody got to Chris and made him go radio silent.
It’s based on the WHYY photograph, of course. That was from July 18 of last year. The freaking joke is that we knew where Trump was on the stage.
“Law and Crime” released this video
on July 17 of last year. It’s got c3pmeme’s video that shows Trump within a minute or so of being shot from the north. You can see the back of the lectern lines up with the front stair railing, and you can see his stance. We KNEW within a few inches how far back his head was. We KNEW: from July 18 we could have drawn a damn line on a damn photo:
It should have been obvious to anyone that a shot from “Crooks” past Trumps ear would pass almost exactly between the back of the south bleachers (just off the corner) and James Copenhaver’s arm, as shown with the blue line.
Conversely, it should have been obvious that a shot to either the back railing or Mr. Copenhaver’s arm would miss Mr. Trump’s ear by about 3 feet - which is not within the margin of error of this diagram.
But we all got sidetracked on the rising shot vs falling shot shit…
If everyone had been hammering on that before the big dogs had been pressured to go radio silent or get turned to the dark side, the FBI might have been forced to admit to a 2nd shooter by now.
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No wonder the FBI isn’t releasing a report saying what was hit with shots 1, 2, 3, etc. It would really expose the truth, no matter what they try to say.
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Thanks for the picture, and my first reaction is that I didn’t know the FBI has a length of apparently thick-walled, obviously steel pipe.
Also, one of the few photographs I have has a ‘red arrow’ drawn, and pointing to a possible 2nd hole inside.
Some people were claiming the bullet was in the hole…I can’t see it.
If I can find other pictures, I’ll add them
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